U.S. challenges OPEC+ with coordinated release of oil from reserves

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The United States said on Tuesday it will release millions of barrels of oil from strategic reserves in coordination with China, India, South Korea, Japan and Britain, to try to cool prices after OPEC+ producers repeatedly ignored calls for more crude. U.S. President Joe Biden, facing low approval ratings amid rising inflation ahead of next year’s congressional elections, has grown frustrated at repeatedly asking the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+, to pump more oil without getting any response. Crude oil prices recently touched seven-year highs and although they are still some way short of levels reached between 2011 and 2014, when they broke through $100 a barrel, many consumers are feeling the pain of a dramatic increase from a year ago. The U.S. announcement was for a release of 50 million barrels, the equivalent of about two and a half days of U.S. demand. India, meanwhile, said it would release 5 million barrels, while Britain said it would allow the voluntary release of 1.5 million barrels of oil from privately held reserves. Details on the amount and timing of the release of oil from South Korea, Japan and China were not announced. Seoul said it would decide after discussions with the United States and other allies. And Japanese media said Tokyo would detail its plans on Wednesday. Officials said it was the first time that the United States had coordinated such a move with some of the world’s largest oil consumers. OPEC+, which includes Saudi Arabia and other U.S. allies in the Gulf, as well as Russia, has rebuffed requests to pump more at its monthly meetings. It meets again on Dec. 2 to discuss policy but has so far shown no indication it will change tack. The group has been struggling to meet existing targets https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/us-wants-more-oil-opec-cant-turn-tap-much-harder-2021-11-23 under its agreement to gradually increase production by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) each month – a pace Washington sees as too slow – and it remains worried that a resurgence of coronavirus cases could once again drive down demand. Recent high oil prices have been caused by a sharp rebound in global demand, which cratered early in the pandemic in 2021, and analysts have said that releasing reserves may not be enough to curb further rises. “Its not large enough to bring down prices in a meaningful way and may even backfire if it prompts OPEC+ to slow the pace at which it is raising output,” said Caroline Bain, chief commodities economist at Capital Economics Ltd. Benchmark Brent crude was trading above $80 a barrel on Tuesday, up from its levels before the announcement but still well below last month’s three-year high of more than $86. [O/R] The release from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve would be a combination of a loan and a sale to companies, U.S. officials said. The 32 million barrels loan will take place over the next several months, while the administration would accelerate a sale of 18 million barrels already approved by Congress to raise funds for the budget. “We will continue talking to international partners on this issue. The president stands ready to take additional action if needed, and is prepared to use his full authorities working in coordination with the rest of the world,” a senior U.S. administration official told reporters. An OPEC+ source and several market analysts said the release was not as big as the headline figure suggested. They said Britain and India were releasing modest amounts and the United States had already announced some releases, and so the additional quantity was less than expected. But the effort by Washington to team up with major Asian economies to lower energy prices sends a warning to OPEC and other big producers that they need to address concerns about high crude prices, up more than 50% so far this year.

Suhail Al-Mazrouei, energy minister of the United Arab Emirates, one of OPEC’s biggest producers, said before details of the release from U.S. reserves was announced that he saw “no logic” in lifting UAE supply for global markets.

An OPEC+ source said releasing reserves would complicate calculations for OPEC+, as it monitors the market on a monthly basis.”These developments point to a period of heightened political tensions between the world’s biggest consumers and OPEC+, which implies increased oil price volatility,” said Henning Gloystein at Eurasia Group. The United States historically has worked on coordinated stocks releases with the Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA), a bloc of 30 industrialised energy consuming nations. Japan and South Korea are IEA members. China and India are only associate members. Under a swap from U.S. reserves, oil companies taking crude must return it – or the refined product – plus interest. Swaps are typically offered when oil firms face supply disruptions, such as a pipeline outage or damage from a hurricane. Outright sales are less common. U.S. presidents have authorized emergency sales three times, most recently in 2011 during a war in OPEC member Libya. Sales also took place during the Gulf War in 1991 and after Hurricane Katrina in 2005. NN: The battle lines have been drawn. The strategic releases buy time for US producers to gear up. And at $80 oil it will not take them long..

Covid Antivirals Don’t Replace Vaccines: Johns Hopkins’ Adalja

Throughout the COVID pandemic, what has been missing from our medical tool kit is an easy-to-take treatment that keeps people out of the hospital. Yet, within the next few weeks, we will have two new antivirals: Merck’s molnupiravir and Pfizer’s Paxlovid. As part of the unimaginable speed that has characterized the medical countermeasure response to COVID, the advent of two highly effective treatments for COVID is nothing short of game-changing. But given that nearly 30 percent of adults are not fully vaccinated against COVID, it is natural to wonder if having these highly effective oral drugs will diminish the value or role of COVID vaccines in our response. There is a real fear being voiced by public health practitioners that if highly effective treatments stand at the ready, people who have so far shunned the vaccine will likely never get vaccinated. That they will get COVID is likely inevitable, prolonging the pandemic, continuing to endanger high-risk individuals, and further taxing our hospitals and their staff. This is troubling, because as those of us in the world of infectious disease know from centuries of past experience with pathogens, preventing infection is always better than treating it. Always. This is especially true for COVID, when we can prevent infection easily with safe and highly effective vaccines; in clinical trial data Pfizer’s vaccine was 95 percent effective in preventing infection in adults, Moderna’s vaccine was 94 percent effective, and Johnson & Johnson’s vaccine was 66 percent effective. And all COVID vaccines are extremely effective at preventing serious illness, hospitalization and death. To many of us, this matters more than preventing infection. The most valuable asset we have in the fight against COVID-19 is still unequivocally vaccination, and the presence of effective drugs doesn’t change that. The concern that unvaccinated people will never get vaccinated if we now have effective treatments for COVID is not new; a similar scenario has already occurred with monoclonal antibodies authorized to treat people who are either infected or who have been exposed to SARS-CoV-2, the COVID virus. These medications have been effective in preventing hospitalization in those early cases and exposures. In Florida, these products are readily available, and some have practically promoted the antibodies as vaccine alternatives. Many unvaccinated people have taken them, and they likely have avoided serious illness. Paradoxically, some people who are averse to vaccines and the cutting-edge science behind them welcome monoclonal antibodies that are also the result of cutting-edge science. This is likely because people change their conceptions of risk once they find out they have COVID. When they get sick, they become more willing to accept interventions than when they are healthy; the risk/benefit calculation changes for many of them. With the prospect that an unvaccinated person can take a pill rather than injectable or infusible antibody treatments, this type of thinking might become even more prevalent. Yet however compelling this line of reasoning might seem at first glance, it is wrong. We must enhance our efforts to get unvaccinated people vaccinated by proactively dispelling the myths the anti-vaccine crowd spreads, and by enlisting primary care physicians—who are greatly trusted by their patients—to counsel hesitant people. COVID, especially in unvaccinated people, is something to avoid even for those who are at low risk for serious disease. Whereas in high-risk groups, COVID-19 hospitalizes and can kill, in nearly everyone it is disruptive and contagious. In a small proportion of those infected, it causes what’s called long COVID—lingering symptoms that interfere with daily life. A positive case invariably requires a local public health official to notify close contacts. That person who is infected has to self-isolate and get tested repeatedly. And for people who are significantly exposed, they face days of quarantine.  Vaccines unquestionably and significantly decrease the likelihood of any part of this negative cascade ever happening. COVID antivirals, like monoclonal antibodies before them, are not a substitute for vaccinations. They are a complement to vaccines, and they serve an important function. When the influenza antiviral Tamiflu became available, it did not diminish the importance of the flu vaccine. People still get flu vaccines, and if they get sick (regardless of whether they got the flu shot), they are sick for fewer days and less likely to be hospitalized or experience complications because of Tamiflu. These new COVID antivirals will be used in any eligible person, regardless of vaccination status, and clinicians will greatly value the drugs, as they do monoclonal antibodies. In addition, because remdesivir, the only available treatment for COVID, requires hospitalization and dedicated space in a hospital, having these oral antivirals helps us achieve one of the most important goals of managing the pandemic: preserving hospital capacity. Once they are available in the U.S., these antivirals (United Kingdom regulators have approved molnupiravir for use there), our COVID-19 armamentarium will be robust. We will have hundreds of diagnostic tests, multiple treatments and proven vaccines. These additional tools will continue to get us closer to the off-ramp of the pandemic in the U.S. That this disease can be transformed within less than two years into a vaccine-preventable infection that can be diagnosed at home and is amenable to treatment with monoclonal antibodies and, soon, oral antivirals is truly remarkable. Even so, COVID is not a disease that will be eliminated. It is an efficiently spreading respiratory virus with an animal reservoir, and it spreads quickly, even before people have symptoms. The virus is here to stay, but we can keep adding tools to manage its consequences better. As the virus transitions to something endemic, like influenza, the aim is to keep it from hospitalizing and killing people. It is a crucial task to develop a menu of medical countermeasures, including treatments. But, by any analysis, vaccines remain the chief tool needed to accomplish this task. In the battle against COVID, we still need to prioritize vaccination, even as optimism abounds with the arrival of oral antivirals. It is inestimably valuable that there now exist multiple treatment options to forestall severe disease in infected individuals, but, without a doubt, it is still better to prevent as many infections as we can. NN: you cannot call them logical.  they do not want to get a vaccine of the most tested most used VACCINE THE WORLD HAS EVER SEEN.  So they will chance getting infected and permanent damage like the loss of smell and taste. They will risk they catch the infection in time and hope their hospital has the antibody cocktail and will give it to them. A treatment that has little testing and uses everything in the vaccine times 10……

Britain to allow 1.5 million barrel private sector oil reserve release

LONDON (Reuters) – Britain will allow privately-held oil reserves to be released voluntarily in answer to a global stockpile release effort led by the United States, a UK government spokesperson said in an emailed statement on Tuesday. “If all companies chose to use this flexibility it would release the equivalent of 15 million barrels of oil,” the spokesperson said. “This does not impact UK oil reserves which are significantly above the 90 days required by the (International Energy Agency).” NN: This is a shot across the bow in what will be a long process. I expect many countries to announce strategic oil reserve releases. OPEC will react… In the end they will  lose. They always do In the mean time expect more volatility!

Dutch COVID-19 patients transferred to Germany as hospitals struggle

AMSTERDAM (Reuters) – The Netherlands started transporting COVID-19 patients across the border to Germany on Tuesday to ease pressure on Dutch hospitals, which are scaling back regular care to deal with a surge in coronavirus cases.  The number of COVID-19 patients in Dutch hospitals has swelled to its highest level since May in recent weeks and is expected to increase further as infections jump to record levels. As of Monday, 470 of a total 1,050 intensive care beds in the Netherlands were being used for COVID-19 patients. Hospitals were already scaling back other procedures including cancer treatments and heart operations https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/facing-new-covid-wave-dutch-delay-care-cancer-heart-patients-2021-11-19, to make room. The Dutch health authority (NZA) on Tuesday said almost a third of all operating theatres in the Netherlands had been closed to limit the use of intensive care beds. Deadlines for critical operations can’t be met in about a fifth of all Dutch hospitals, the NZA said, while various types of care had been scrapped in 49 of the country’s 73 hospitals. German hospitals in total have offered 20 beds for patients from the Netherlands, after treating dozens during previous waves of the pandemic. Plans by the Dutch government to impose further curbs to contain the virus prompted three nights of rioting https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/dutch-pm-lashes-out-idiots-after-third-night-violence-2021-11-22 starting on Friday and more than 170 arrests in cities cross the country. Plans include limiting access to many public places to people who have been vaccinated or have recently recovered from COVID-19. It remains unclear whether the government will find a majority to enact the rules into law. NN: Their are a couple of takes from this information. The first is skyrocketing infection amount populations with high vaccination rates. It is obvious the new variants are penetrating vaccine immunity as they wane after 6 months. The second take is the natives are restless. They want their bars, discus, sporting events and their Christmas turkey….. The third take is the US opening up and people flying on the disease incubates without even a vaccinate certificate will end in disaster … With MILLIONS to soon needlessly die

Germany considers more COVID-19 curbs, compulsory vaccines as cases soar

BERLIN (Reuters) – Health Minister Jens Spahn called on Tuesday for further restrictions as Germany’s rate of coronavirus infections hit a record high and more politicians backed compulsory vaccinations. The seven-day incidence rate jumped to 399.8 per 100,000 people on Tuesday, data from the Robert Koch Institute for infectious diseases showed, the 16th straight day it has hit a record level. As the number of COVID-19 deaths in Germany nears 100,000, the United States advised on Monday against travel there. Spahn said more public spaces should be restricted to those who were vaccinated or recently recovered from COVID-19 and also had a negative test. “We are having to move patients around as intensive care units are full and that doesn’t just affect COVID-19 patients,” he told Germany’s Deutschlandfunk radio. On Monday, Spahn said that by the end of the winter almost everyone in Germany would be “vaccinated, recovered or dead”.

Neighbouring Austria has reimposed a full lockdown due to surging caseloads. Spahn has not ruled out similar steps in Germany, although he said on Tuesday that would be decided region by region. Many Christmas markets have been cancelled, especially in the hard-hit regions of Bavaria and Saxony. The eastern state of Brandenburg decided that children no longer have to go to school and is starting its Christmas holidays three days early.

The force of the pandemic’s fourth wave has prompted more politicians to back compulsory vaccinations, a divisive topic that is likely to face Germany’s new government. Only 68% of the population are fully vaccinated. Some 7.3% of citizens have had a booster and while long queues have formed in many places for a third shot, Spahn has tried to allay concerns about supply.

“Compulsory vaccination is not a violation of civil liberties, but the prerequisite for us to regain our freedom,” wrote the premiers of the southern states of Bavaria and Baden-Wuerttemberg in the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung daily.

The ALM association of medical laboratories said capacity for PCR testing was reaching its limits with nationwide utilisation at 86%, up from 75% in the previous week, while the number of positive PCR tests had jumped by 31%. NN: Reality is the new mutations are circumventing vaccines as they wear off. It appears if you have a high antibody levels the vaccines still protect you. But you need to top up your antibodies with a booster shot. The US is letting its guard down for the holiday season. This will prove to be a colossal failure of leadership. I URGE you to get your booster shot, test your antibodies, Build you immune system with supplements. And at least test you dinner guests.

U.S. to release 50 million barrels of oil from emergency reserve – White House

This video ran a year ago. The Trump administration at the lowest oil prices in years filled the US strategic reserve with 77 million barrels…… Now they are going to release 50 million barrels with oil running around $80 a barrel………

WASHINGTON, Nov 23 (Reuters) – The United States will release 50 million barrels of crude from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help cool oil prices,that will start hitting the market in mid- to late-December, the White House said on Tuesday. The release, will take the form of a loan and a sale,and was being in made concert with other releases from strategic reserves by China, India, South Korea, Japan and Britain, senior Biden administration officials said. It was the first time the United States has coordinated releases with some of the world’s largest oil consumers, the officials said. NN: As you know we got here first. Bottom line the Pence administration are really a bunch of liberal fuck  ups. The US can once again become totally energy self sufficient and be a major exporter of the vast virtually untapped natural gas supplies……

 

Kremlin committed to OPEC+ pledges, no plans to discuss oil-stock release with group

MOSCOW (Reuters) – The Kremlin said on Tuesday that Russia remained committed to fulfilling its OPEC+ obligations and that President Vladimir Putin had no plans to contact OPEC+ partners despite talk of key consumer countries releasing their strategic oil reserves.

The United States is expected to announce a loan of crude oil from its emergency stockpile on Tuesday as part of a plan it hashed out with major Asian energy consumers to lower energy prices, a Biden administration source familiar with the situation said.

Russia condemns US Nord Stream 2 sanctions

The US has imposed sanctions on two ships and one Russia-linked company involved in the construction of the now-completed Nord Stream 2 project, a controversial gas pipeline linking Leningrad Region to Germany via the Baltic Sea.

The latest measures were announced on Monday by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who noted that the entities would be sanctioned under an act that is nominally supposed to protect Europe’s “Energy Security.” However, some have accused the Americans of opposing the pipeline for economic reasons, as the country looks to increase its exports of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) to the European continent. The new sanctions target Transadria Ltd., described by the US authorities as a Cyprus-based front company for a Russian entity. Its vessel, named Marlin, has also been targeted, alongside a second unnamed ship.   On Tuesday, following Washington’s statement, Russian Ambassador to the United States Anatoly Antonov attacked the new sanctions as “unacceptable.”

“The US administration, both Republicans and Democrats, has been trying to complicate Russian-European energy cooperation for several years now,” Antonov said. “We regard all attempts to impede Russian oil and gas exports to Europe as unfair competition, undermining free market principles.”

The State Department announcement is just the latest in a long line of measures against companies linked to Nord Stream 2. The pipeline, which is yet to be in operation, directly connects Germany to Russia via the Baltic Sea, allowing Moscow to send gas without transiting other countries and making the process less reliant on third parties. The construction of Nord Stream 2 was severely hindered by US sanctions, with Washington imposing numerous packages of measures against companies involved in the building, maintenance, and certification of the project. Last year, a large group of major shipping insurers pulled out of the project after threats from America over sanctions. In early 2021, the pipe-laying vessel Fortuna was targeted. And on November 16 it was revealed that certification for the pipeline would be postponed months after the German regulator told the Swiss-based Nord Stream 2 consortium to form a subsidiary under German law. NN: I am certainly not pro Russia. But any enterprise that ties Russia economic interests to the free world is good. That is the decades long principal that allows and in fact encourages free trade with China. Reality is the grenneewennies have driven Europe into a situation where Europe needs Russia gas. The Nord Stream II pipeline was mandated, approved and in part funded by European companies. US interference in this project is nothing short of misguided and driven by the lefty liberals who are against all pipelines…Cross pruposes are driving the oil crises whis is driving inflation….

Japan, India working on oil-stock release after U.S. request – sources

India is working on ways to release crude oil from its strategic storages in tandem with other major economies to dampen prices, a top government official said on Monday.

The US had last week made the unusual request to some of the world’s largest oil-consuming nations, including China, India and Japan, to consider releasing crude stockpiles in coordinated effort to lower global energy prices.

This after members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies rebuffed repeated requests to speed up their production increases.  “We are working on releasing stocks from our strategic reserves,” the official, who wished not to be named, said.  He did not give a timeline but said officials were in touch with other major oil users for a coordinated move.

 India is the world’s third-largest oil consumer and importing nation and has been severely impacted by the relentless rise in international oil prices. Since the US move, global oil prices are on the decline.  Brent crude was trading at USD 78.72 per barrel, down from USD 81.24 a barrel 10-days back. On October 26, it had hit a multi-year high of USD 86.40.  Just like the US, it also believes that high prices are starting to produce unwanted inflation and undermine recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Retail petrol and diesel prices shot up to record levels earlier this month before the government cut taxes, costing it Rs 60,000 crore in revenue this year.  India has 5.33 million tonnes of underground crude oil storage at two places on the east and the west coast.  While China has said it is working on a crude release, Japan has also signalled its readiness.  India has built 1.33 million tonnes of storage at Visakhapatnam in Andhra Pradesh, and 1.5 million tonnes at Mangaluru and 2.5 million tonnes at Padur (both in Karnataka). The official said the stocks from the reserves will be released in tandem with other countries. “Dates, etc are being worked out,” he said.  ADNOC of UAE has leased half of the Mangalore storage while the remaining is with state-owned Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd (MRPL). State-owned firms   and government have stocked oil at the other facilities. NN: It has not been decided the amounts of the strategic release or the timing. But please note OPEC meets Dec 2nd and this is no coincidence. Its a negotiations session.

Delay to Russian Nord Stream-2 gas pipeline may not be long

The suspension of the approval process for the Russian Nord Stream 2 pipeline by a German regulator could be short-lived as Europe is hungry for more gas, an analyst said on Monday after meeting officials of Russian state gas giant Gazprom.

MOSCOW, Nov 22 (Reuters) – The suspension of the approval process for the Russian Nord Stream 2 pipeline by a German regulator could be short-lived as Europe is hungry for more gas, an analyst said on Monday after meeting officials of Russian state gas giant Gazprom GAZP.MM. Last week, Germany’s energy regulator temporarily halted the certification process for the new pipeline that will carry Russian gas into Europe, throwing up a new roadblock to the contentious project and driving up regional gas prices. German government sources told Reuters that the suspension could delay commissioning of the infrastructure until next March. The German regulator said certification was being temporarily halted because under German law the Swiss-based consortium behind Nord Stream 2 first needed to form a German subsidiary company to secure an operating licence. Ronald Smith, an analyst at Moscow-based BCS brokerage, told Reuters following a call with Gazprom senior managers that that may only take a few weeks and that Gazprom – which is leading the Nord Stream 2 project – had not been surprised by the delay. “It seems to have been a suggestion by the regulator for Nord Stream 2 to establish a German entity, and looking at the announcement, they will proceed with the approval process once the registration is done. My guess, it may take two to three weeks,” he said. “The suspension of the approval by the German regulator was not a surprise for Gazprom. The Germans want to get the approval done, they are in the middle of an energy crisis,” he said. The German regulator, the Bundesnetzagentur, did not respond to a request for further comment. Gazprom and Nord Stream 2 both declined to comment on the expected start date for gas exports via the link. The Russian government has said it did not believe that politics were behind the suspension. A source at Gazprom said the company was willing to work in line with the legal requirements. Gazprom is unlikely to start exporting gas via the link before it gains regulatory approval, the source said. Natural gas prices have been volatile in Europe in the past week, since the suspension of the approval process and due to COVID 19-related lockdowns and the subsequent impact on energy demand. The benchmark Dutch front-month contract TRNLTTFMc1 was down 4.4 euros at 82.10 euros per megawatt hour on Monday. “Corona fears are highlighted heavily now,” a gas trader said. Gas flows via the Yamal-Europe pipeline into Germany at the Mallnow metering point on the Polish border were at an hourly volume of 11,763,536 kilowatt hours (kWh) as of 1310 GMT, down from more than 12,000,000 kWh in the morning and over the weekend. Nominations for Monday’s volumes at the Velke Kapusany metering point on the Slovak-Ukraine border, another major route to Europe, were for 986,456.8 MegaWatthours, or 90.8 million cubic metres, a touch lower than over the weekend. NN: This is nothing more then a price negotiation. I believe it will be resolved in the next 30 days. I have seen Gasprom negotiate this pipeline for years. And they have maneuvered their way around every obstetrical. Now that Russian domestic tanks are full the crumbs off their table will be given to Europe,