China Silver Fund Revaluation Sparks 31% Drop

  • UBS SDIC Fund Management Co. changed the valuation model for the UBS SDIC Silver Futures Fund LOF to track global futures prices, leading to a record drop in its net asset value.
  • The change was made to “timely and fairly reflect the true value in assets” as the previous model could not fully reflect the fair value due to the 17% daily limit on the Shanghai Futures Exchange.
  • The adjustment sparked an outcry among investors, who may incur an extra loss if they try to redeem the funds, with UBS SDIC stating that unadjusted valuation would be “against the principle of fairness”. UBS SDIC Fund Management Co. changed the valuation model for a $2.2 billion silver fund to more closely track global futures prices, triggering a record drop in its net asset value and outcry among investors already bruised by a precious metals slump. The UBS SDIC Silver Futures Fund LOF will be valued based on prices in silver futures on major global markets instead of those listed at the Shanghai Futures Exchange, according to statements from UBS SDIC. The change, which came into effect on Monday, led to a record 31.5% drop in the product’s net asset value. UBS SDIC, a joint venture between the Swiss bank and a unit of State Development and Investment Group Co., said in a statement that it strives “to timely and fairly reflect the true value in assets.” Last month’s rally in precious metals came to a halt on Friday when spot silver prices plunged more than 25%. Investors had been piling into commodities amid renewed concerns about geopolitical upheaval and threats to the US Federal Reserve’s independence. The LOF fund mainly invests in silver futures listed on the Shanghai bourse, which are bound by a 17% daily limit, while global futures markets have no price caps.

The drop marks one of the sharpest single-day declines for Chinese mutual funds. The adjustment came as silver futures on the Comex tumbled 32.7% in the prior two sessions as a frenzied rally, partly fueled by Chinese speculators, ground to a halt. It has also sparked an outcry on social media. Any investor who tried to redeem the funds late Monday would incur an extra loss with the revaluation.

UBS SDIC said the recent market upheaval, with global futures price declines far exceeding the 17% limit, meant the fund’s net asset value can’t fully and timely reflect the fair value in its underlying assets under the previous model, according to a statement on its public WeChat account. It will resume referencing the silver settlement prices in Shanghai for valuation once the underlying futures contracts “reflect the characteristics of active trading markets.” Unadjusted valuation would allow investors that redeem at an earlier time to exit at an inflated net asset value, and expose remaining investors to the risk of asset prices returning to their true value, which the firm said is “obviously against the principle of fairness.” After precious metals from gold to silver unraveled last week the Shanghai Futures Exchange on Monday urged member institutions to beef up risk management and to remind investors to participate rationally.

NN: The loses have not been calculated never mind disclosed… yet. Sell the dippers rally. I’ll be publishing on this during todays trade day

Precious metals rebound, gold jumps 4%….. Silver soars 7%, back above $86

Prices of precious metals rose on Tuesday, rebounding from yesterday’s losses, with gold soaring by more than 4%. Markets still reeled from last week’s volatile sessions that brought both gold and silver to their all-time highs amid tensions between the United States and Iran, after which the metals turned to losses as those tensions slightly subsided and as US President Donald Trump nominated former Federal Reserve governor Kevin Warsh for the position of the central bank’s new chair.

Gold jumped 4.66% to $4,870.08 per ounce at 1:27 am ET, while silver surged by 6.29% to $84.97 per ounce at the same time. A minute later, platinum rose by 1.41% to $2,161.77 per ounce, and palladium climbed by 1.87% to $1,714.49 per ounce at 1:28 am ET.

NN: This is the relief rally back. Soon the next downward wave will come.

Silver soars 7%, back above $86

The price of silver continued to rise on Tuesday, soaring by more than 7%, as it recovered from drastic losses after nosediving by more than 35% last Friday, when it observed the largest single-day decline since 1980. Silver surged by 7.8% to $86.18 per ounce at 2:24 am ET, while gold rose by 5.14% to $4,891.80 per ounce a minute later. Meanwhile, platinum advanced by 3.76% to $2,211.63 per ounce at 2:26 am ET, and palladium jumped by 6.2% to $1,787.42 per ounce at the same time.

Oil Plunges as Iran Risks Ease and Commodities Selloff Deepens

Oil plunged as geopolitical risk premiums faded after US President Donald Trump said Washington is talking with Iran, while a broader commodities selloff exacerbated the slide. Brent plummeted more than 5% at one point and was trading near $66 a barrel, while US crude futures also nosedived. Trump downplayed Iran supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s threats of a regional war over the weekend, reiterating he’s hopeful they’ll make a deal. The Islamic Republic’s foreign ministry said it hopes diplomatic efforts will avert a war. The Tasnim news agency said talks between the US and Iran are likely in the coming days. “The move lower looks more like a positioning reset than a fundamental shift,” said Haris Khurshid, chief investment officer at Karobaar Capital LP. “With no new supply shock, oil is giving back some risk premium as the market recalibrates after pricing in near-term disruption that just didn’t materialize.”

Crude was also hit as commodities — particularly metals — came under intense selling pressure. Gold fell as much as 10% and copper at one point dropped more than 5% as they continued a retreat that started on Friday. The precipitous drop comes on the back of oil’s biggest monthly increase since early 2022, supported by broad-based flows into commodities during the same period. The prospect of conflict with Iran and pockets of supply disruption led to a surprisingly tight first month of the year. Still, the wider backdrop is one of elevated supplies, particularly in the first half of 2026. At current prices, the sharp reversal will trigger selling from trend-following commodity trading advisors, according to James Taylor, head of the quant service at consultant Energy Aspects. More selling would come if Brent falls below $65 a barrel, he added, noting that large levels of options open interest could also exacerbate price swings. Rapid shifts in financial flows have amplified the moves in oil prices so far this year. Traders began the year with bumper short positions that have quickly reversed after weeks of geopolitical tumult

NN:   I do not believe their will be a real peace deal. Its typical Iranians stalling for time.

Oil falls 5% on US-Iran talks optimism

Crude oil prices dropped by more than 5% on Monday after reports that Washington informed Tehran that United States President Donald Trump’s administration is ready to meet with Iranian officials and negotiate a nuclear deal. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for deliveries in March fell by 5.05% % at 3:20 am ET, going for $61.92 per barrel. Meanwhile, Brent for settlements in April slid by 4.75% to go for $66.03 per barrel t 3:22 am ET.

More to come…

Markets Fallout Worsens as Gold, Silver and Copper Plunge

  • Gold extends losses after biggest drop in over a decade
  • Silver plunges as much as 12% after record slump on Friday
  • Asian stocks set for worst two-day drop since early April
  • Bitcoin declines to fresh 10-month low in Asia
Given the crowded docket of heavyweight losers, commodities like platinum and palladium may not get too much attention. But their movements are also remarkable, and lend much-needed texture to the broader market move. The former peaked last week above $2,922 an ounce; right now, it’s now trading near $1,940. Jake Lloyd-SmithEnergy and Commodities Editor, Singapore With precious metals under more pressure, copper’s losses are deepening too. Benchmark futures in London just extended declines to more than 5% on the day. Europe looks set up for a pretty tough session. Jake Lloyd-SmithEnergy and Commodities Editor, Singapore

A key focus for the week’s trading to come will be the magnitude of outflows from (or, conversely, the stickiness of) holdings in precious metals-backed exchange-traded funds. For sliver , these have already been negative for a while, and that trend served as an early-warning sign that a reversal in prices was likely on the cards. The global tally shrank by 4.6% in January.

That’s the most since 2022.  Meanwhile, ETFs for gold have been much more solid. They’ve just expanded for a fourth straight week, according to data tracked by Bloomberg. Jake Lloyd-SmithEnergy and Commodities Editor, Singapore

 Multiple Metals Futures in China Fall by Daily Down Limit
Another wave of selling has emerged in silver, which has once again declined by more than 10%, underscoring the intensity of liquidation across precious metals. Gold has also extended its losses, now down 5.8%, raising the likelihood of further deleveraging in commodity-linked positions.
Here’s a chart that shows the wave of Chinese metals trading that helped carry global prices higher before the rout. This shows throughput for all the six base metals on the Shanghai Futures Exchange — what began as a December surge became an all-out frenzy in January, taking volumes to by far their biggest monthly total ever.
Shanghai Metals Trading Just Had Its Busiest Month Ever | Volumes across six main metals have spiked since late 2025
NN: I have never seen a bubble market that did not blow up.

Gold deepens losses, plunges more than 5%…… Silver plummets nearly 12% as sell-off continues

The price of gold continued to drop, extending sharp losses from last week, amid a sell-off in the precious metals market. At the same time, there was seemingly no solid underlying cause behind the marked volatility affecting the yellow metal, which took place after it crossed the historic threshold of $5,000 per ounce in January. At 11:12 pm ET, gold slumped 4.91% to sell for $4,635.37 per ounce. Silver plummeted 8.78%, going for $76.64 per ounce, and platinium lost 1.87% to go for $2,181.97 per ounce, while palladium decreased 1.51% at 11:12 pm ET, changing hands at $1,725.24 per ounce.

Silver plummets nearly 12% as sell-off continues

Silver continued to drop wildly on Monday, as traders grappled with the dramatic correction that kicked off on Friday and saw it drop by over 35%. Silver nosedived 11.93% at 12:49 am ET, going for $73.98 per ounce. Gold plunged 7.16% to $4,539.45 per ounce at 12:55 am ET. Platinum fell by 4.09%, a minute later, selling for $2,133.92 per ounce and palladium dropped by 1.95% to $1,716.72 per ounce.

NN: On told trillions are being lost in gold, silver, bitcoin. Retirement accounts, hedge funds, mutual funds, investment banks are hiding massive losses. Remember me i warned you about this and it ain’t over.

Trump: We’ll see if Khamenei was right about regional war

United States President Donald Trump said on Sunday that Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s earlier remarks were unsurprising. “Why wouldn’t he say that? Of course he is going to say that. We have the biggest, most powerful ships in the world over there, very close,” Trump told reporters, referring to Khamenei’s warning about the “regional conflict.” Furthermore, the US president expressed hope that the two countries would reach an agreement regarding the nuclear program. “If we don’t make a deal, we’ll find out whether or not he was right,” he remarked.

Khamenei: If US attacks, it will turn into ‘regional’ war

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned on Sunday that any military action by the United States against Iran would turn into a “regional” conflict. “We are not initiators of war, and do not want to attack any country – but the Iranian people will strike strongly anyone who attacks it,” Khamenei threatened, according to Iran’s state media. Meanwhile, US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee stated earlier that US President Donald Trump “doesn’t make empty threats.”

NN: I think its past time for Trump to call Khomeini’s bluff

US envoy on Iran: Trump will keep his promise

United States Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee  said that US President Donald Trump “doesn’t make empty threats” and that he will “keep his promise” regarding support for anti-government protesters in Iran. Earlier this year, Trump threatened to strike Iran in response to its violence and human rights abuses against the demonstrators, but later reversed course. In recent days, Trump also suggested he could attack Iran over its nuclear program. Huckabee told Israel’s Channel 12 that the decision on strikes has not been made yet. “President Trump is always hopeful for the best outcome,” he said, adding that the “ideal” scenario would be reaching a nuclear deal with Tehran. “But if he can’t, he’s not afraid to do what he proved he would do last summer,” he noted, referring to strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities, carried out in cooperation with Israel

NN:

Continue reading “US envoy on Iran: Trump will keep his promise”

Bitcoin extends drop, falls 6% to below $80,000

Bitcoin slid sharply on Saturday, dipping 6% to under $80,000, as Ethereum lost over 11%. The downturn came amid renewed geopolitical unease, with traders watching escalating tensions between Iran and Western powers. This marks Bitcoin’s weakest level since April last year, when United States President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs kicked in, rattling global markets. At 12:58 pm ET, the world’s most famous cryptocurrency was trading at $78,784.476, down 6.34%, while Ether was priced at $2,399.9324, reflecting a 11.21% drop.