President Trump says he’s “optimistic” that a vaccine will be ready around Election Day, and it “wouldn’t hurt” his chances against former Vice President Joe Biden. But having a vaccine available for widespread public use before 2021 is unrealistic, according to public health experts, including the Coronavirus Task Force’s Dr. Anthony Fauci. Mr. Trump told Geraldo Rivera’s radio program “Geraldo in Cleveland,” on WTAM, Thursday that a vaccine could “in some cases” be ready sooner than November 3, but “right around that time.” Asked about this on the White House South Lawn a couple hours later, the president said he’s “optimistic” about a vaccine being ready around that date. “I’m optimistic that it’ll be probably around that date. I believe we’ll have the vaccine before the end of the year, certainly, but around that date, yes, I think so,” Mr. Trump sad. Nick Note: This is as political as it gets. And its a grave mistake. Phase 3 human studies have barely started and their are issues. Trump Touts over and over again vaccine by election day, OMG!
Crude Oil Traders remain Cautious Despite a Plunge in U.S Crude Oil Stockpiles
The API reported a drop in 8.587 million barrels of crude oil for the period ending July 31. That was far better than the 3.3 million barrel draw forecasted by selected energy analysts. Brent crude prices have continued to converge around the $44 per barrel supported by recent positive macros, coming from emerging markets, that showed signs of upward gains in manufacturing and business sentiments across these economies coupled with the recent bullish run at America’s equities market, assuring most oil traders that the worse is definitely over. These as kept the price of crude ranging between the $40-$45 as oil traders are looking for clear macros about the world’s economic stability. At one stage, crude oil prices surged to the highest level in nearly two weeks. However geopolitical risks such as the recent massive explosion near Lebanese capital increased fears among oil traders on concerns about Middle east oil supply routes.
Oil traders are indeed in a precarious situation, partly because there is no clear direction on where energy demand will go in the short term, and there are concerns for the medium and long-horizon too.
Although geopolitical uncertainty has now become the new norm, the price of Brent crude is expected to remain above the $40 support level in the next few weeks in spite of the resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic. Nick Note: Oil cannot possible maintain prices at these levels. Its the vaccine battle cry of the soon to be wiped out bulls both in oil and the stock market. Trillions of bets are being placed on a vaccine that has not been certified yet, never mind produce or distributed, that at best will give 50% of the people who take the three doses(not counting the potential for disastrous side defects) in the best case some immunity for 90 days max. And it will take a year or more to inoculate significant portions of the population. This can only end badly…. very badly indeed.
Goldman Says Covid-19 Vaccine Approval Could Upend Markets
Approval of a vaccine could “challenge market assumptions both about cyclicality and about eternally negative real rates,” the team wrote, adding such a scenario may support steeper yield curves, traditional cyclicals and banks, while challenging the leadership of technology stocks. If this happened along with a change in the U.S. administration, emerging market equities could benefit “if trade policy risks diminish while U.S. tax risks rise,” according to the note.
They see a potential downside target of 2,200 in the S&P500 should there be a significant reversal of activity from a second wave of the virus, the strategists added. The U.S. benchmark closed just under 3,328 on Wednesday. Nick Note: I want to be crystal clear here. For weeks i have told you i was waiting for the breakout over 3300. I got it it yesterday. I was amazed at how many people got nervous. To be clear i want to AGGRESSIVELY add positions here and now. To be even more precise. I AM HOPING THEY BALLYHOO A SUCCESSFUL VACCINE. Many people are confused you are thinking oh my GOD the market will zoom even further and wipe me out. I adamantly disagree. Its buy the rumor sell the fact! I will explain in greater detail in
Why scientists are worried about a ‘Warp Speed’ COVID-19 vaccine
As the race for a COVID-19 vaccine heads into the stretch run, scientists are tempering their enthusiasm with caution. The biotechnology company Moderna and the National Institutes of Health have begun Phase III efficacy trials for their vaccine. The University of Oxford and Pfizer are running combined Phase II and III testing for their respective drugs. All together, drugmakers have 27 vaccines in trials. The goal of Operation Warp Speed, the U.S. vaccine initiative, is 300 million doses of a safe, effective vaccine by January, and if realized, it would be one of the greatest scientific achievements of all time. On Tuesday, Goldman Sach predicted the Food and Drug Administration would approve at least one vaccine before the end of the year. Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said last month he was hopeful a vaccine would be available by late fall or early winter.
Here’s what worries scientists:
—FDA regulators will likely face enormous political pressure to approve a vaccine, even one that’s not proven safe and effective.
—A vaccine that’s less effective than billed could cause wider spread of the pandemic, Michael S. Kinch, director of the Centers for Research Innovation in Biotechnology and Drug Discovery at Washington University in St. Louis, writes in Stat News.
“A merely short-term effect could encourage vaccinated individuals to resume risky behaviors, which would all but guarantee that the epidemic endures,” argues Kinch, who is also a professor of biochemistry and molecular biophysics.
—A vaccine would likely erode compliance of social distancing and mask wearing, measures that are proven effective against spread of the virus.
“They automatically are going to say, ‘Oh great, I’m just going to get my little vaccine, and I can go back and do exactly the things I was doing last year’. That is absolutely not true,” Maria Elena Bottazzi, associate dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine, told Business Insider in an interview.
—We don’t have enough data.
“What we have right now is a collection of animal data, immune response data and safety data based on early trials and from similar vaccines for other diseases,” writes Natalie Dean, assistant professor of biostatistics at the University of Florida, in the New York Times.
“The evidence that would convince me to get a COVID-19 vaccine, or to recommend that my loved ones get vaccinated, does not yet exist,” she says.
—If a substandard vaccine is green-lighted without adequate testing or trials, unforeseen harmful side effects could emerge. A weak initial vaccine and/or one with dangerous side effects would likely cause confidence in all vaccines to plummet and strengthen anti-vaccine sentiments. If a safer, more effective vaccine were subsequently developed, the residual mistrust could result in fewer people getting vaccinated.
—Epidemiologists estimate that to tame the pandemic, at least 70 percent of the population may need to develop immunity, either by vaccine or getting infected. Millions of Americans refusing to get inoculated by a vaccine that’s at least 50 percent effective (the minimum level according to the World Health Organization) could thwart that goal.
—A vaccine might only provide short-term immunity because of the nature of coronaviruses. Back in April, Dr. David States, professor of human genetics and director of bioinformatics at the University of Michigan, tweeted:
“If you’re hoping a vaccine is going to be a knight in shining armor saving the day, you may be in for a disappointment. SARS COV2 is a highly contagious virus. A vaccine will need to induce durable high level immunity, but coronaviruses often don’t induce that kind of immunity.” Nick Note: I have A REALLLy BAD FEELING ABOUT THIS. In my dream people who got the vaccine developed a new even more virulent strain. They are going about this in the wrong way. This is driven by a power hungry mad man who believes that drinking bleach will cure infections.
EIA Petroleum Report week ending July 31, 2020

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 7.4 million barrels from the previous week. At 518.6 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are about 16% above the five year average for this time of year. U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 14.6 million barrels per day during the week ending July 31, 2020 which was 42,000 barrels per day more than the previous week’s average. Refineries operated at 79.6% of their operable capacity last week. Gasoline production increased last week, averaging 9.3 million barrels per day. Distillate fuel production increased last week, averaging 4.9 million barrels per day. U.S. crude oil imports averaged 6.0 million barrels per day last week, increased by 0.9 million barrels per day from the previous week. Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports averaged about 5.7 million barrels per day, 18.1% less than the same four-week period last year. Total motor gasoline imports (including both finished gasoline and gasoline blending components) last week averaged 657,000 barrels per day, and distillate fuel imports averaged 131,000 barrels per day. Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 419,000 barrels last week and are about 8% above the five year average for this time of year. Finished gasoline inventories decreased while blending components inventories increased last week. Distillate fuel inventories increased by 1.6 million barrels last week and are about 27% above the five year average for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories increased by 2.3 million barrels last week and are about 13% above the five year average for this time of year. Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased last week by 2.1 million barrels last week.Total products supplied over the last four-week period averaged 18.3 million barrels a day, down by 13.5% from the same period last year. Over the past four weeks, motor gasoline product supplied averaged 8.7 million barrels a day, down by 9.1% from the same period last year. Distillate fuel product supplied averaged 3.6 million barrels a day more than the past four weeks, down by 8.7% from the same period last year. Jet fuel product supplied was down 40.9% compared with the same four-week period last year. Nick Note: Let me tell you what happened. Their was a big draw of crude oil. But minuscule when you consider that global above ground oil inventories are the highest ever. Refineries in a desperate fight for survival misfired. They thought the start of driving season would shoot up demand for gasoline. After all it does every year. Well no cookie. The driving season demand never materialized with 3 big population states and Drive destinations infections are record high levels. That means no demand confirmed by the PAD surveys. The gasoline demand never materialized in Texas, California and Florida….. you can throw in Arizona for good measure. So we see what they sucked out of the market in crude they put back in gasoline swelling inventories
Trump is not considering nationwide lockdown
President Trump Is Not Considering A National Coronavirus Lockdown, McEnany Confirms

(Screenshot/YouTube/White House)
President Donald Trump is not considering a national lockdown to stop the spread of coronavirus, White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany confirmed Tuesday. Trump and Republicans have long pushed back on the idea of a mandatory national quarantine, citing the federal government’s lack of authority to do so under the Constitution. Trump called on state governors to institute distancing measures tailored to their own states this spring, resulting in widespread protests against governors who took a more severe route.
“The president is not considering a national lockdown,” says Kayleigh McEnany.
— Chris Megerian (@ChrisMegerian) August 4, 2020
Some experts say the lifting of current distancing measures across the country relies largely on the production of a successful coronavirus vaccine. White House Coronavirus Task Force member Dr. Anthony Fauci has said he is optimistic that a vaccine will be developed before 2021. The Trump administration’s ‘Operation Warp Speed’ project is aimed at partnering the public and private sectors to develop a vaccine or therapeutics to combat COVID-19.
Dr. Amesh Adalja of the Johns Hopkins University Center for Health Security told the Daily Caller it may be more than a year before life returns to what Americans thought of as normal in 2019, however.
Adalja said the development of a vaccine is one part of the solution, but that vaccine must then be mass-produced, a process which he says could take until 2022. Nick Note: The US should be in regional lock downs. It does not make any difference what Trumps says or even thinks. The virus contagion is indeed out of control and in another month when the flu season starts and idiots return to school their will be lock downs. Prepare yourself…….
Weekly API Oil Reports Signals a Draw Down

The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported on Tuesday a draw in crude oil inventories of 8.587 million barrels for the week ending July 31. In the previous week, the API reported a draw in crude oil inventories of 6.829 million barrels, after analysts had predicted a small build. Oil production in the United States has now fallen from 13.1 million bpd on March 13 to 11.1 million bpd for July 24, where it sat for the second week in a row, according to the Energy Information Administration. The API reported a draw of 1.748 million barrels of gasoline for the week ending July 31—compared to last week’s 1.083-million-barrel build. Distillate inventories were up by 3.824 million barrels for the week, compared to last week’s 187,000-barrel build, while Cushing inventories saw an increase of 1.63 million barrels. Nick Note: This is the time of year demand is highest. WE HAVE SEEN A VERY SMALL PICK UP IN CONSUMPTION. The problem is its soon back to the bad ole days of lock downs. Reality is distillate inventories are still rising. And the draw down from all time record inventory levels as a percentage of over supplied markets are minuscule. Today we get the EIA numbers and my bet is TOTAL INVENTORIES are still rising…..
Why Trust Your Life to Coffee Filter Paper Masks
China Fucked you with the virus, now they are kyou with the masks
A Food and Drug Administration effort to address a shortage of protective masks has instead opened the floodgates to 3,500 Chinese manufacturers’ selling products of widely varying quality, potentially putting the public at risk and leaving some U.S. states with stockpiles of masks they no longer trust as protective gear, a Wall Street Journal analysis found. Facing a severe shortage of N95 respirator masks in the early days of the coronavirus pandemic, the FDA made an emergency decision to allow importation of millions of Chinese-made masks, generally called KN95s, that were supposed to provide similar levels of virus protection. But the FDA itself created confusion about which Chinese brands could be trusted for medical use, in part by giving—then revoking—its stamp of approval to masks that turned out to be subpar. Some of the companies given initial approval were just weeks old or posted incomplete mask-quality tests, the Journal found. The agency also relaxed its rules governing Chinese masks aimed at the general public, allowing hundreds of brands to be sold with little oversight and few quality checks, regulatory records show, rendering the KN95 label all but meaningless. The FDA now posts lists of Chinese-made respirators that are “authorized” and “no longer authorized” for medical use. Some manufacturers’ products are on both lists, distinguished only by often-similar model numbers. The FDA lists one model from the same manufacturer as both authorized and no longer authorized. The changes and conflicting information have led to confusion for health-care providers.
As the pandemic worsened, Chinese manufacturers registered hundreds of KN95mask brands with the FDA. Registration doesn’t mean they have FDA approval.Daily KN95 mask registrations with FDA Source: FDANote: Includes active registrations with KN95 inproduct name.
Suzanne Schwartz, a senior FDA device regulator, said in a statement that the agency has been constantly responding to new data and science during the pandemic. In approving Chinese respirators, she said, the agency initially built in safeguards due to concerns about fraudulent KN95s and has twice tightened rules based on fresh information. “We have provided regulatory flexibility where it is needed most,” she said.
The FDA said its main goal was to help hospitals obtain quality masks and that it has never told the general public to use KN95s. It relaxed restrictions on masks of many kinds in response to public demand for face coverings during the pandemic, the agency said.
N95 respirators, so-called because they filter out only 95% of very small particles, are viewed as critical to protect doctors, nurses, paramedics and other front-line workers from catching the disease caused by the novel coronavirus. N95 masks and high-quality substitutes—if they can be found—are particularly valuable now that the virus has surged in the south, southwestern and western parts of the U.S. Among the issues identified in the Journal analysis:
*State agencies submitted orders for more than 180 million KN95 masks to protect workers, according to public records, many of which are now sitting unwanted in warehouses due to quality concerns. Meanwhile, federal agencies have distributed millions of additional KN95 masks to states, which may have the same quality issues.
*More than 60% of foreign-made masks, nearly all Chinese made, have failed basic U.S. government quality tests that looked at 220 such brands, according to U.S. regulatory data.
*More than 3,500 Chinese manufacturers that have registered to sell KN95s in the U.S. were never fully vetted by any U.S. agency; some make virus-protection or filtration efficiency claims the FDA explicitly forbade when it relaxed the rules.
Complaints about fit are common with KN95s. The vast majority—even those authorized as medical respirators by the FDA—are secured with ear loops. Nearly all U.S.-authorized N95 masks use headstraps, which federal regulators and users say provide a more secure, airtight fit to keep out viruses.
The city of Portsmouth, N.H., which used KN95s to protect city workers, ran into quality problems and complaints from staffers that some fit poorly. If a respirator mask isn’t airtight, occupational-safety experts say, viruses can leak in.
The city is no longer trying to buy KN95s. “They don’t seal properly. They smell musty,” a spokeswoman said. “But if you absolutely had to have a mask, it’s better than nothing.”
The explosion of KN95s in the U.S. can be traced back to March, as the pandemic began to spread. Federal officials realized there was a severe shortage of U.S.-certified N95 masks made both domestically and abroad.
When tested by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, most foreign masks failed. Some of the manufacturers claimed the models tested were counterfeits,according to Niosh.Foreign masks tested in 2020Source: Niosh
At least 22 of the Chinese companies on the initial FDA emergency-use authorization list—including some still on the list—were named in fake or invalid certifications claiming their products passed European health and safety tests or were certified in Europe, according to a review of company marketing materials from official websites and from middlemen purchasing masks. Many claimed European certification in their packaging sold in the U.S., or stamped on their products.
Nick Note: why trust your life to a paper coffee filter mask. That at best filters out 95% of water droplets, and does not filter out vaporized particulates? We get tested every batch of canister P3 Filters. We have personally been to the factory that makes them. Today we sent another batch of samples to England. We buy only form European and Israeli Manufactures. They are the best money can buy. And i am sure we are paying to much. Want a bargain go to eBay or Amazon or Alibaba and roll the dice with your life. Its your business if you want to buy some Chunk King internet shit from unknown sources. Or Knock offs. We are out of stock. We had to obtain export licensees and use our skills. As we speak we have another batch at JFK New York clearing customs. They will go fast, get on our waiting list. Look i really do not need anther job. We are doing this as an emergency and a humanitarian effort. Our staff are volunteering their time to inspect pack and shit your order. If want to risk your life on coffee filters paper masks of dubious fit, quality and origin that’s a decision you may live to regret. The masks we are sourcing are the best. They are the exact ones i and my daughters and staff use. Hear my words i am seeing orders cancelled and some suppliers are telling me October. Can you hold your breath that long? If you want them call.. we only take orders for full kits we can send to you within 5 days of your order. We are paying extra for expedited delivery. I do not know how long i can maintain supplies…….
Scientists Worry About Political Influence Over Coronavirus Vaccine Project
Operation Warp Speed has moved along at a rapid clip. But some people involved in the process fear pressure to deliver an October surprise for President Trump.

In April, with hospitals overwhelmed and much of the United States in lockdown, the Department of Health and Human Services produced a presentation for the White House arguing that rapid development of a coronavirus vaccine was the best hope to control the pandemic. Nick Note: No need to plow old grown. By now you know the drill. Trump will declare victory over the coronavirus and say its cured by one of the bullsht what will turn out to be deadly vaccines. My belief is a war is brewing and the medical (not drug companies) establishment smells a rat. Bottom line when the great white hope vaccine the October surprise blows up in Trumps face it will be plan B. Ether no elections or a complete and hopeless cluster fuck that Trump and his post master general will create by design. For Trump the timing is unfortunate. Flue season will be upon us and lockdowns. I am told Trump is pushing hard for speedy approval of the of the monkey vaccine from hell. Even before Phase 3 clinical studies are not even made available for peer review…. But get this before the phase 3 testing is even completed.
Opening Schools Dumbest IDEA EVER!
Trump, DeVos and the GOP are doing everything they can to minimize what will be one of the costliest abuses of humanity in the name of political expediency ever perpetrated on American soil. If public schools are forced to open too early under threat of punishment; the physical, psychic, mental, financial and emotional costs will be swift and beyond painful. The Covidiot criminals in Washington would have everyone believe it is in the best interests of the children. That it is for their emotional and mental well-being. They’re young and resilient, they’ll get over it. If anything, it will have just the opposite effect.
It’s not a question of IF the virus will spread among the children, educators, staff and then outward from there to families and the workplace. The questions we refuse to ask and answer are WHEN and HOW MUCH.
We refuse to learn from the mistakes of the past, and the past was only two months ago.
Governors Abbott, DeSantos and Kemp desperately rallied to open their economies first in a 3-way race to kiss Trump’s ring and now our states are among the most contagious and lethal hotbeds of contagion. These same Covidiot criminal politicians STILL REFUSE to allow city leaders to enforce mask wearing. The governor of Georgia is personally suing the mayor of Atlanta for putting the lives of the citizens first by enforcing masks. Our mayors and school superintendents CAN and SHOULD personally reject any political mandate that puts their citizens, students, teachers and staff at risk of contagion and death. Mayor Margo when challenged and criticized for not wearing his mayoral pants during this pandemic (and several other human rights issues that have occurred here on his watch as mayor of El Paso) always falls to his “my hands are tied because I can’t go against what governor Abbott declares.” Toothless leadership and cowardice on display. When the lives of your citizens are on the line, you cross whatever political lines you have to without a second thought and deal with the governor’s wrath later. Nobody, at any leadership level, seems to understand that THE PANDEMIC WRITES THE RULES AND THEY ARE IRONCLAD. Until there is a successful vaccine available, this helter-skelter, every state for itself approach to dealing with the virus is costing tens of thousands of American lives. Our children and students are this nations greatest asset and under this and previous administrations, they have been treated without care and understanding. Treated like pawns good for nothing but political points and steady school loan income for the government. They will be asked or forced to spend hours in schools that will eventually harbor the virus. And waiting a few extra weeks until October to re-open schools assumes we can tell the pandemic what to do. This has to stop now because Covid-19 is raging and won’t abate at any time in the near future. Covid-19 – an invisible enemy that isn’t being taken all too seriously by either side of the political aisle – has exposed the house of cards that America has become and if we don’t rebuild the utterly broken systems of healthcare, education, immigration, civil rights, gun control, national and personal debt, sound government and yes, pandemic response…well then, we’ll get what’s coming in the aftermath. Nick Note: Lets get down to the nut cutting. Of all the mistakes and disinformation the biggest mistake the political Fucks are making. Is the forced opening of schools. Their is no way to isolate, No way to disinfect and NO WAY IN HELL to stop the virus spreading among school children, staff and teachers in MASS. And if that is not bad enough they will bring the virus home to their brothers and sisters, mother and fathers and their grand parents. IT will be worse then the beach, bars, concerts and stadiums full of screaming fans combined. Prepare for canopy explosion and ejector seat deployment.

