Lebanon’s Mikati hopes ceasefire will be reached in ‘coming hours, days’

Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati told Al-Jadeed TV on Wednesday that he “hopes” a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon will be reached “in the coming hours or days.” He remarked that he was “cautiously optimistic” after receiving a call from United States Special Envoy Amos Hochstein, who told him he was on a plane to Tel Aviv. “The Lebanese army needs equipment to carry out its role, and there should be no weapons in the South Litani region except in the hands of the Lebanese legitimacy, and all infrastructure in that sector should be dismantled,” Mikati went on to say. Meanwhile, Israel’s KAN news agency leaked the Lebanon-Israel 60-day armistice proposal. In it, the two are called to adopt UN Resolutions 1701 and 1559, while the Lebanese armed forces are expected to monitor and enforce the resolution. Furthermore, within 7 days of the ceasefire, Israel is expected to withdraw its forces.

Israel says ‘prominent’ Hamas member killed in West Bank

Israel’s special forces eliminated a “prominent” Hamas member Hussam Al Malah in an operation in Tulkarem in the West Bank, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and Shin Bet said in a joint statement. Al Malah was said to have planned terrorist attacks against Israel in the West Bank along with two other Hamas members Islam Odeh and Zahi Oufi who were also killed by Israeli security forces before the operation on Wednesday. The operation was carried out by the agents of the special police counter-terrorist units and Shin Bet agents, the statement read.

NN: Of course the terrorists want peace because they are getting their asses kicked. \\\\\\\\Stupid///// That will  give them time to regroup and rearm and attack again. Its time to kill the beast

Israel strikes ancient city of Baalbek, advances in southern Lebanon…….. US envoy travels to Israel for crunch talks

The Israeli military on Wednesday struck the ancient city of Baalbek in eastern Lebanon after calling for evacuations, witnesses said, as its ground forces advanced against the Hezbollah militia in southern parts of the country. An Israel Defense Forces (IDF) spokesman said residents in the affected area, which includes large parts of Baalbek as well as neighbouring villages, should leave their homes immediately. Security sources and witnesses said that a series of strikes hit the city following the warning. “The whole city of Baalbek was shaking as loud sounds of explosions were heard,” a witness told dpa. Residents earlier fled the affected areas in panic as loudspeakers in mosques across Baalbek called on people to leave the city. Around 80,000 people live in Baalbek, which is known for its Roman temples that have been designated a UNESCO World Heritage Site.In addition, many internally displaced civilians have sought refuge in the area – considered a Hezbollah stronghold – since Israel launched its ground offensive in southern Lebanon in late September.

US envoy travels to Israel for crunch talks

 

The latest reports came amid cautious optimism about a ceasefire in the region, which has seen fighting escalate since the Palestinian militant group Hamas launched the October 7 attacks on Israel. Israeli media reported on Wednesday that US envoy Amos Hochstein is to travel to Israel on Thursday for talks along with White House Middle East coordinator Brett McGurk. The Israeli army radio station said that an agreement could be concluded “within days,” citing the Israeli military. According to media reports, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held urgent talks on Tuesday on possible ways out of the war.Israel is calling for Hezbollah to withdraw to the area north of the Litani River, as provided for in a UN resolution. The resolution also allows for a large number of Lebanese soldiers to be stationed along the Israeli border. Naim Qassem, the organization’s new secretary general, said in a televised speech: “If the Israelis decide that they want to stop the aggression, we will accept that – if we find the terms to be acceptable.” In his first address since he was appointed to replace former leader Hassan Nasrallah, who was killed in an airstrike in September, Qassem stressed that the movement would “not beg for a ceasefire.” “The enemy must know that the bombing of Lebanese villages and towns will not force the militia to retreat,” he said. Qassem, who was previously the group’s deputy chief, pledged that Hezbollah would emerge victorious from this battle. “We have the ability to remain resilient for days, weeks and months,” he added.

Hezbollah chief says Netanyahu is ‘very afraid’….. Says The Man About To Meet His Virgins

Hezbollah’s newly-elected Secretary-General Naim Qassem commented on Wednesday on the recent drone attack on Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s private residence, saying that the group’s contacts confirmed that the prime minister is “very afraid because we are targeting him.” “The enemy must know that its bombing of our villages and cities will not make us retreat, and the resistance is strong and was able to deliver a drone to Netanyahu’s room,” Qassem said, adding that even though the strike didn’t kill the Israeli prime minister, “perhaps an Israeli will kill him, perhaps during one of his speeches.” Hezbollah’s new leader also confirmed that the military group has recovered its capabilities and acquired new fighters to replace the ones injured in the pager attacks in the previous month, urging the group’s supporters to “have a little more patience.” Qassem also claimed that Nasrallah’s death won’t stop the group but increase its determination.

Oil May Spike After US Election on Mideast Risk, StanChart Warns

The oil market has “relaxed too quickly” over risks in the Middle East, and renewed hostilities between Israel and Iran after the US election could boost prices, according to Standard Chartered Plc.

“We see the risk of an escalating series of attacks over an extended period, with no immediate prospect of either military or diplomatic resolution,” analysts including Emily Ashford and Paul Horsnell said in an Oct. 29 report. The two-month period leading up to the presidential inauguration on Jan. 20 represents a potential “window for an intensification,” they said.

Crude prices slumped by the most in more than two years on Monday after Israel’s latest retaliatory strike against Iran avoided the OPEC producer’s energy infrastructure. That choice of targets both reduced concerns about immediate risks to crude flows, and flipped investors’ attention back toward expectations for deteriorating global oil balances in 2025. “There has been a trend over the past year for the market to act as if every escalation in Middle East geopolitical risk is a de-escalation,” the analysts wrote.

At present, Israel does not appear to have completed many of its objectives in Iran, and the scope for further action “is likely to widen significantly as soon as voting has concluded in the US election,” they said.

Global benchmark Brent was forecast at $89 a barrel in the first quarter of 2025, with West Texas Intermediate seen at $86, according to Standard Chartered. Brent last traded above $71, down by more than 7% this year.

Gallant on new Hezbollah chief: Temporary appointment…..

Israel’s Defense Minister Yoav Gallant commented on Tuesday on the election of Naim Qassem as the new Hezbollah Secretary-General, stressing that it is a “temporary” move. “Temporary appointment. Not for long,” the minister said in a post on X. He added that “the countdown has begun,” hinting that Qassem could end up like his predecessor Hassan Nasrallah, who was killed in Beirut by Israeli forces. Earlier in the day, Hezbollah announced that its Shura Council decided to appoint Qassem as the next group’s chief due to his “adherence to the principles and goals of Hezbollah.” NN: Think AAA

Gallant: Hezbollah’s rocket capacity around 20%

Israel’s Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said on Tuesday that he estimates that Hezbollah retains only about 20% of its rocket and missile capacity compared to the period before the war. “There is a deep connection between our strike in Iran and what is happening to Hezbollah. Iran understands that Hezbollah does not have the ability to respond, and Hezbollah understands that it cannot rely on Iran,” Gallant said while visiting the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) Northern Command base in Safed. He stated that Hezbollah is “not organized in the way that it used to be organized.” Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will reportedly have a meeting today to find a diplomatic resolution to the conflict with Hezbollah. Earlier today, Hezbollah appointed a new secretary-general, Naim Qassem, who will succeed the previous leader Hassan Nasrallah, who was killed in an Israeli strike. Gallant called this new appointment “temporary.”

Israel’s airstrikes on Iran seen as largest op since Six-Day War

Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant hailed on Monday the recent strikes on Iran as the most significant Air Force operation since the 1967 Six-Day War. “The response seems very precise, high-quality, and deadly for what we wanted to hit, and I think the IDF has not done an operation like this; the Air Force has not done an operation like this since Operation Focus,” Gallant emphasized while in talk with IAF officials and IDF chief of staff. Operation Focus was Israel’s initial air strike at the beginning of the Six-Day War in 1967.

Iran faces tough choices in deciding how to respond to Israeli strikes

How the Islamic Republic chooses to respond to the unusually public Israeli aerial assault on its homeland could determine whether the region spirals further toward all-out war or holds steady at an already devastating and destabilizing level of violence. In the coldly calculating realm of Middle East geopolitics, a strike of the magnitude that Israel delivered Saturday would typically be met with a forceful response. A likely option would be another round of the ballistic missile barrages that Iran has already launched twice this year. Retaliating militarily would allow Iran’s clerical leadership to show strength not only to its own citizens but also to Hamas in Gaza and Lebanon’s Hezbollah, the militant groups battling Israel that are the vanguard of Tehran’s so-called Axis of Resistance. It is too soon to say whether Iran’s leadership will follow that path. Tehran may decide against forcefully retaliating directly for now, not least because doing so might reveal its weaknesses and invite a more potent Israeli response, analysts say. “Iran will play down the impact of the strikes, which are in fact quite serious,” said Sanam Vakil, the director of the Middle East and North Africa program at the London-based think tank Chatham House. She said Iran is “boxed in” by military and economic constraints, and the uncertainty caused by the U.S. election and its impact on American policy in the region. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s ultimate decision-maker, was also measured in his first comments on the strike Sunday. He said the attack “should not be exaggerated nor downplayed,” and he stopped short of calling for an immediate military response. Saturday’s strikes targeted Iranian air defense missile batteries and missile production facilities, according to the Israeli military. “Israel has yet again shown its military precision and capabilities are far superior to that of Iran,” she said. For decades, leaders and strategists in the region have speculated about whether and how Israel might one day openly strike Iran, just as they wondered what direct attacks by Iran, rather than by its proxy militant groups, would look like. Today, it’s a reality. Yet the playbook on either side isn’t clear, and may still be being written.“ There appears to be a major mismatch both in terms of the sword each side wields and the shield it can deploy,” Vaez said. “While both sides have calibrated and calculated how quickly they climb the escalation ladder, they are in an entirely new territory now, where the new red lines are nebulous and the old ones have turned pink,” he said. NN: Iran is blinded by their hatred. They will attack again and soon.   

Oil sinks by 6% as Iran’s Oil Untouched…. FOR NOW!

The prices of oil futures continued to decrease on Monday after Iran stated its oil production resumed operating as Israel’s retaliatory airstrikes did not target those facilities. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for December’s settlements plummeted by 6.03% at 5:34 am ET to sell for $67.41 per barrel. Meanwhile, Brent for the same month’s deliveries declined by 5.81% to go for $71.67 per barrel.

NN Algos at in again. BlackMask Pod Cast

PEACE MY ASS

IRGC chief says Israel will face “bitter consequences” for Iran attack…… US fighter jets strike Iran-linked sites in Syria in retaliation for attacks on US troops

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Commander-in-Chief Hossein Salami (pictured) warned Israel of “bitter consequences” after the recent attack on Iran, local media reported on Monday, citing a letter that Salami sent to Iranian Army Chief Commander Major General Abdolrahim Mousavi. Salami noted that Israel “failed to achieve its ominous goals,” adding that its Saturday’s attack on Iran was a sign of “miscalculation and helplessness.” He further said that “bitter consequences will be unimaginable” for Israel as it fights Iran-backed militant groups in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon. Salami’s comments come after Israel launched precise strikes on military sites in Iran’s capital Tehran and other cities in the country.

US fighter jets strike Iran-linked sites in Syria in retaliation for attacks on US troops

WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. fighter jets launched airstrikes  on two locations in eastern Syria linked to Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, the Pentagon said, in retaliation for a slew of drone and missile attacks against U.S. bases and personnel in the region that began early last week. The strikes reflect the Biden administration’s determination to maintain a delicate balance. The U.S. wants to hit Iranian-backed groups suspected of targeting the U.S. as strongly as possible to deter future aggression, possibly fueled by Israel’s war against Hamas, while also working to avoid inflaming the region and provoking a wider conflict. Air Force Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder said  that the strikes near Boukamal by F-16 and F-15 fighter aircraft targeted a weapons storage facility and ammunition storage facility used by the IRGC and affiliated groups. “Both facilities were destroyed,” he said. “We currently assess there were no casualties in the strikes.” A senior U.S. military official said there had been Iranian-aligned militia and IRGC personnel on the base and no civilians. The official would not say how many munitions were launched by the jets. A senior defense official said the sites were chosen because the IRGC stores the types of munitions there that were used in the strikes against U.S. bases and troops. The two officials briefed reporters after the strikes on condition of anonymity to provide details on the mission that had not yet been made public. And the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, an umbrella group for several Iran-backed groups, said fighters attacked al-Assad airbase in western Iraq with a suicide drone. U.S. officials said it was shot down a few kilometers away and did not hit the base. The retaliatory strikes came as no surprise. Officials at the Pentagon and the White House have made it clear for the past week that the U.S. would respond, with Ryder saying again Thursday that it would be “at the time and place of our choosing.” The latest spate of strikes by the Iranian-linked groups came in the wake of a deadly explosion at a Gaza hospital, triggering protests in a number of Muslim nations. The Israeli military has relentlessly attacked Gaza in retaliation for the devastating Hamas rampage in southern Israel nearly three weeks ago, but Israel has denied responsibility for the al-Ahli hospital blast and the U.S. has said its intelligence assessment found that Tel Aviv was not to blame. NN: This sounds like escalation to me Not peace

Iran’s Khamenei criticizes Israel’s ‘malignant’ strikes……..Austin tells Gallant Iran must not respond to Israeli strikes

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei addressed Israel’s recent air strikes on Iran, condemning the attacks as “malignant.” Khamenei urged against underplaying the severity of the attacks, saying, “It would be wrong for us to say that it was nothing and it did not matter.” He emphasized Israel’s failure to understand Iran’s strength and determination. “The calculation error of the Zionist regime must be disrupted,” he added.

Austin tells Gallant Iran must not respond to Israeli strikes

United States Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin told Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant that Iran should not “make the mistake” and respond to Israel’s attacks, reiterating Washington’s commitment to Israel’s security. The two officials spoke on the phone in the aftermath of strikes on Iran early on Saturday to discuss the current security situation in the Middle East. Austin and Gallant also talked about the potential for reaching a diplomatic solution to the conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon.

NN: It ain’t over till they get their versions or America goes up in nuclear smoke