Israel reportedly orders Al-Shifa hospital evacuation……..Israel claims it seized $3M in Al-Shifa hospital raids

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) ordered all the civilians currently located at the Al-Shifa Medical Complex in Gaza City to evacuate to avoid going through an air attack, Al Jazeera reported on Thursday. The outlet added that, given the bombing tactics implemented in the hospital and nearby zones, the IDF is seeking to demolish the center completely.Meanwhile, the IDF added it killed more than 140 members of Hamas who were hiding at the hospital. It also claimed it found caches of weapons and different military equipment there.

Israel claims it seized $3M in Al-Shifa hospital raids

The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) announced on Wednesday that it has confiscated cash amounting to $3 million in United States dollars and Jordanian dinars during their operations at Al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City.The army mentioned that it had successfully evacuated approximately 3,700 Palestinian civilians from the hospital, who were then transported to southern Gaza. During the operation, a total of 300 suspects were apprehended, including senior Hamas and Islamic Jihad commanders. Earlier reports indicated that Israel has rejected the latest ceasefire proposal put forward by Hamas. Furthermore, a representative from Hamas stated yesterday that the IDF’s raids on the medical facility have disrupted ongoing peace negotiations. NN: Things are heating up. I expect  things to get really bloody and then a peace  deal will come. You can expect some wild swings in oil.

Israel: 90 Hamas members killed in Al-Shifa Hospital

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) stated on Wednesday its troops killed about 90 members of Hamas who were allegedly using Al- Hospital in Gaza City as their shelter. “Over the past day, the troops have eliminated terrorists and located weapons in the hospital area, while preventing harm to civilians, patients, medical teams, and medical equipment,” the IDF claimed in its statement. The IDF added that the Military Intelligence Directorate and the Shin Bet interrogated more than 300 people found at the hospital and took more than 160 to Israel for further questioning. Meanwhile, Hamas’s Ismail Haniyeh urged Israel to abandon the hospital, saying its actions are damaging the prospects of a new ceasefire.

U.S. Crude Oil, Gasoline Inventories Continue to Drop

Crude oil inventories in the United States fell this week by 1.519 million barrels for the week ending March 15, according to The American Petroleum Institute (API), after analysts had predicted a 77,000 barrel build. The API reported a large 5.521-million-barrel rise in crude inventories in the week prior. On Tuesday, the Department of Energy (DoE) reported that crude oil inventories in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) rose by 0.7 million barrels as of March 8. Inventories are now at 362.3 million barrels.Oil prices were up ahead of the API data release on Tuesday as the market continues to digest and assess Ukraine’s attacks on Russian refineries. Gasoline inventories also fell this week. Gasoline inventories fell 1.574 million barrels, after falling by 3.750 million barrels in the week prior. As of last week, gasoline inventories were about 3% below the five-year average for this time of year, according to the latest EIA data.Distillate inventories rose this week, by 512,000 barrels, after last week’s 1.162 million barrel drop. Distillates were already 7% below the five-year average for the week ending March 8, the latest EIA data shows.Cushing inventories also rose this week, gaining 325,000 barrels after falling by 998,000 barrels in the previous week. NN: The data point are very confusing. Which is why you seeing these kinds of moves.

Hamas chief: Israel’s Al-Shifa raids spoil ceasefire talks

Hamas’ senior political leader, Ismail Haniyeh (pictured), accused Israel of disrupting the peace talks following their attack on Al-Shifa, the largest hospital in Gaza.”The deliberate targeting of police officers and government officials in Gaza illustrates their efforts to sow chaos and perpetuate violence among our resilient people. This also reveals the occupation leaders’ endeavor to sabotage ongoing negotiations in Doha,” he posted on Telegram on Tuesday.The Israeli Defense Forces previously claimed that they had apprehended more than 300 individuals with connections to Hamas. Negotiations for a ceasefire in Gaza and the release of hostages were underway in Doha, Qatar indicated that a counter-proposal could be presented to Hamas in the near future. NN:  Its about the famine and the threatened invasion.

Netanyahu approves Rafah military op plans

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu approved the plans for a military operation in the Gazan city of Rafah, his office announced on Friday. According to the statement, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) is “prepared” for the campaign and evacuation of Palestinian civilians there. Moreover, Netanyahu dismissed Hamas’s demands presented in their latest proposal for a new ceasefire as “absurd,” insisting the organization requests too many prisoners to be released. Netanyahu’s seal of approval came after the international community, including reportedly the United States, warned Israel against a military operation in Rafah due to the high presence of displaced civilians there. Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced on Friday that their troops continue operations and fighting in the west of the Gaza Strip’s Khan Yunis in the Hamad neighborhood.According to the official statement, IDF forces have been “eliminating terrorists, locating and destroying shafts and combat complexes.” One of the underground tunnels found was about 200 meters long, and was “used by the terrorist organization Hamas,” IDF said. It was also noted that, among other types of weapons, “grenades, RPG missiles, explosives, and rocket launchers” were found.

Oil Prices Set for a Strong Weekly Gain on Demand Revisions

Crude oil prices were set for a weekly gain of about 4% after the International Energy Agency became the latest forecaster to suggest oil demand might turn out to be stronger than previously expected this year. The IEA said Thursday that it now expects oil demand this year to grow by 1.3 million bpd, up from 1.2 million bpd last month. The agency cited maritime transport disruptions due to the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea that are adding demand for fuel. The IEA also revised its supply forecast, but downwards. It now expects additional supply this year at 800,000 bpd. As a result, the forecast, which last month said the oil market would be in surplus, now says it will face a deficit later in the year.  The agency noted, however, that lukewarm economic growth would continue to act as a headwind for prices even as other agencies such as the IMF revised their global GDP growth outlook upwards. A series of fresh drone attacks by Ukraine on Russian refineries also contributed to the price rally this week, especially after the energy ministry said these attacks had led to a 1.5% decline in fuel exports in February. There were drone attacks on refineries in Russia last month as well. The latest weekly inventory figures from the United States were also bullish for prices, featuring sizeable drawdowns in fuel inventories that suggested stronger demand. As a result of the rally, which brought Brent crude to over $85 per barrel on Thursday, traders started taking profits, eventually bringing prices lower. Even so, the international benchmark was trading above $85 per barrel in midmorning trade in Asia today. NN: No i have not been sleeping. This is a complicated market with  incredible volume of AI fake news. Remember today is option roll over. So the gang is making sure their options expire in the money. I am putting together for a the longest trade recommendation i have ever written.

Russia sees oil exports increasing in 2024

Russian Deputy Energy Minister Pavel Sorokin announced on Thursday that the country’s oil exports will likely rise in 2024. At a public council, Sorokin explained that this would happen due to “unplanned maintenance at refineries.” “The situation is stable, but the primary [oil refining] will be reduced,” he detailed.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) revealed on Thursday in its Oil Market Report that the global market is anticipated to encounter a deficit throughout the year. The report now assumes that OPEC+ voluntary cuts will remain in effect through 2024, adjusting the market balance from a surplus to a slight deficit.

Global oil demand is set to rise by an unexpected 1.7 million barrels per day (mb/d) in the first quarter of 2024, buoyed by a more optimistic outlook for the United States and increased bunkering. Despite an upward revision of 110 kb/d from last month’s report, growth is expected to decelerate from 2.3 mb/d in 2023 to 1.3 mb/d in 2024. World oil production is projected to drop by 870 kb/d in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 due to weather-related shutdowns and new restrictions from OPEC+. Meanwhile, the global supply in 2024 is forecasted to increase by 800 kb/d to 102.9 mb/d despite a downward adjustment to OPEC+ output.

Oil Prices Climb on Demand Optimism

OPEC repeated it expected global oil demand to expand by 2.25 million barrels daily this year. The forecast was accompanied by a prediction of stronger than previously expected economic growth. “While some downside risks persist, a continuation of the expected momentum from the beginning of the year could result in additional upside potential for global economic growth in 2024,” OPEC said. There also appears to be a strong belief that the Fed will start cutting rates in the summer even though the central bank has not given any indications about that, still wary about inflation figures. These rose 0.4% in February from 0.3% in January but analysts seem firm in their perception that inflation is in fact slowing down. At the same time, the American Petroleum Institute reported inventory draws in both crude oil and fuels, which also helped push prices higher and supported OPEC’s view on oil demand. The Energy Information Administration is reporting inventory figures later today. If it also reports a draw, it would be the first one after seven consecutive weeks of builds, Bloomberg noted in a report. On the other hand, the Energy Information Administration said in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook that U.S. oil production could grow more than previously expected this year, suggesting headwinds for prices in the form of non-OPEC production growth remain very much in place. Bearish factors can be found in OPEC, too, with Iraq once again exceeding its production quotas—for the second month in a row in February.NN: Oil for now is ignoring demand destructin.

UK’s industrial production down 0.2% in January……Eurozone’s industrial production down by 3.2% in January

Production output in the United Kingdom decreased by 0.2% in January compared to the previous month, the Office for National Statistics revealed in a report on Wednesday. On an annual level, the reading rose by 0.5%. The main contributors to the monthly decline were water supply sewerage, which dropped 2.2%, and mining and quarrying, which went down 1.3%. On the other hand, electricity and gas increased by 0.5%, while manufacturing output remained flat. In the three months to January 2024, production output dropped 0.2% compared to the previous three-month period.

Adidas net sales fall 7.6% to €4.8B in Q4

Adidas AG reported on Wednesday that its net sales declined by 7.6% to €4.8 billion during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023. The company’s operating loss landed at €377 million compared to the €724 million loss from the fourth quarter a year earlier. Net loss attributable to shareholders stood at €379 million in comparison to the year before when it came to €512 million, while diluted earnings per share from continuing and discontinued operations were at €2.13, increasing 25.9% in comparison to the same three-month period a year prior. For the full 2024, Adidas projects its operating profit to be around €500 million. “Although by far not good enough, 2023 ended better than what I had expected at the beginning of the year. Despite losing a lot of Yeezy revenue and a very conservative sell-in strategy, we managed to have flat revenues […] With the exception of the US, we now have healthy inventories everywhere,” CEO Bjorn Gulden mentioned. NN: : they went all in China. BIGE MISTAKE

Eurozone’s industrial production down by 3.2% in January

Industrial production decreased 3.2% in the Eurozone and 2.1% in the European Union in January, the bloc’s statistical office, Eurostat, revealed in a preliminary report issued on Wednesday. Year-on-year, the figure went down by 6.7% in the euro area and 5.7% in the EU.

In the euro area, there was a pronounced decrease in the production of capital goods by 14.5%, alongside smaller declines in durable and non-durable consumer goods. However, the intermediate goods and energy sectors saw increases of 2.6% and 0.5%, respectively. The EU mirrored these trends closely, with similar shifts in sectoral production levels. At the national level, Ireland, Malta, and Estonia experienced the most significant monthly decreases in industrial production, while Poland, Slovenia, and Lithuania recorded the highest increases. On an annual basis, the largest declines were observed in Ireland, Estonia, and Bulgaria, contrasting with notable gains in Slovenia, Greece, and Denmark.

IEA, OPEC Divergence on Oil Demand

  • Reuters this week reported that the divergence between IEA and OPEC demand numbers is the largest in 16 years.
  • The IEA predicted last year that oil demand would peak before 2030.
  • OPEC has a vested interest in stronger global demand, so there may well be an overestimation bias in its outlooks.

Ever since the International Energy Agency switched from a pure-play information provider to an advocate of the energy transition, its forecasts about oil demand have shifted to increasingly reflect this advocacy. This has led to a growing divergence between the IEA’s and OPEC’s outlooks on the future of the commodity, increasing the risk of confusion among analysts and investors. The question “Who’s right?” has become a legitimate one. To begin with, it’s worth noting that neither authority is completely impartial. OPEC has a vested interest in stronger global demand, so there may well be an overestimation bias in its outlooks. The IEA, on the other hand, acts like it has a vested interest in the energy transition, which has led it to regularly underestimate oil demand, with its most marked departure from reality to date contained in the original Net Zero Roadmap. NN: Their is plenty of proof global is plunging. That is why OPEC is trying to cut production.