Saudis Make Rare Spot Oil Sales

Saudi Arabia is taking the unusual step of selling millions of barrels of oil on an ad-hoc basis to customers in Asia, illustrating the complex task of restoring flows throttled by the Iran war. State-run energy giant Saudi Aramco has sold at least 6 million barrels of crude on a so-called spot basis on three supertankers bound for South Korea, Japan and China, traders with knowledge of the matter said. They asked not to be identified because the transactions aren’t public.  It’s a departure from standard practice by the world’s largest oil exporter, which normally only sells supplies on long-term contracts. Transactions for individual cargoes are more common among smaller producers, and their use by the kingdom now speaks to the unprecedented nature of reversing the biggest supply disruption in history.

Saudi Aramco declined to comment.

Producers across the Middle East have been ramping up output, initially reflecting their success in sneaking out barrels through the shuttered Strait of Hormuz and later responding to the fragile US-Iran agreement to end the war.  Crude exports from the Persian Gulf have recovered to at least 75% of pre-conflict levels, aided by a resumption of loadings at Ras Tanura, Aramco’s main export terminal inside the Gulf. The rebound has helped trigger a slump in the prices of crudes from the region and more generally, pulling Brent futures down to $72 a barrel.  Normally, the kingdom only sells crude to long-term contract buyers at official selling prices that are set once a month. Shipments purchased on a spot basis may count toward customers’ annual contractual volume obligations, the traders said. Of the cargoes heading to Asia, Aramco offered at least some on a delivered basis, meaning the company assumes responsibility for delivering the barrels. It priced them against the regional Dubai and Oman benchmarks, the traders said. Saudi crude exports climbed to 4.45 million barrels a day in June, their highest level since the war broke out at the end of February, though still considerably below previous volumes, according to tanker-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg. The kingdom is not alone in restoring shipments. Oil tankers are continuing to navigate the reopened Strait of Hormuz, despite attacks in recent days that made some owners more cautious about crossing the world’s top maritime chokepoint. The United Arab Emirates’ Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. has been among the most active sellers of spot crude from the region, selling tens of millions of barrels via tenders, and even proposing this week to index its own official prices to the regional Dubai benchmark. OPEC member Iraq has managed to export oil that was stranded in the Persian Gulf, but continues to face difficulty in sourcing enough tankers to collect cargoes.

NN: Its desperate times for the republicans and Trump. Their advisers warn they need gas prices under$2.50 before the elections. Today the national average is $4.50. Still no cookie!

Trump PULLS OUT Nuclear-Capable Bombers From NATO Airbase After IRGC War Threat

Washington is pulling the plug on its high-visibility heavy bomber operations in Europe. US Central Command has confirmed the withdrawal of six nuclear-capable B-52 Stratofortress strategic bombers from Britain’s RAF Fairford base, departing in two groups of three. While the massive warplanes were used to rain down ordnance on Iranian targets during weeks of high-intensity conflict, their exit comes at a deeply volatile moment. Indirect peace talks between Washington and Tehran are deadlocked, with Iran accusing the US of violating the interim Versailles MoU. Though a dozen B-1 Lancers remain at Fairford, the exit signals a shift from military force to tense diplomatic gridlock.

A Desperate US is unfreezing Iran assets to unblock Hormuz

The United States administration is unfreezeing  Iran’s assets to convince Tehran to abandon the idea of charging tolls for transiting the Strait of Hormuz, the Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday, citing people with knowledge of the matter. According to the report, negotiations were initially moving forward toward the release of the $6 billion in frozen Iranian funds held in Qatar, but Iran’s decision to block the strait and insist on banning transit through routes not approved by Tehran has led to a setback in that process. The US is currently reviewing Oman’s proposal, which stipulates that maritime services in the Strait of Hormuz would be paid through a fund financed by voluntary donations, the sources said. Iran has so far rejected this proposal wanting much more money

NN: Its hard to negotiate a good deal when your adversary holds all the aces! Don’t shit yourself trump is in trouble on this deal.  He may not survive it if he loses both the house and senate in the mid term elections

CENTCOM relocating US bases from Gulf States to Israel after Iran wiper them out

The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) is considering moving its military bases’ operational systems in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia to Israel in order to increase their distance from further Iranian missile and drone attacks,  The US Navy may revamp its base in Bahrain, which has suffered severe damage since late February up until the recent US-Iran ceasefire. Bahrain has been home to the US Navy’s central forces in the Middle East for over 50 years. One option is to establish a new base in the Negev big enough to hold the American army’s forces, or to expand one of the Negev’s air force bases and allocate an American compound there. The US Department of Defense and the US Army also plan to renew their supply contracts with the Ministry of Defense and the IDF until 2030, and possibly further. This idea for relocation follows Iran’s extensive damage to at least 20 US sites across the Middle East since the onset of the war, especially NSA Bahrain. It would take an estimated $400 million to rebuild what Iran destroyed at NSA Bahrain, excluding costs of debris removal, the rebuilding of two AN/GSC-52B satellite communication terminals and a communications management facility, and other relevant costs. It is possible that destroyed structures will not be revamped, and command and control nodes may have to be moved underground. Back in May, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei stated the US military is not well enough protected in the Middle East.  “America will no longer have a safe haven for mischief and the establishment of military bases in the region,” Khamenei posted on his Twitter/X account. The Pentagon has yet to publicly acknowledge the extent of the damage that Iran inflicted on their naval base in Bahrain. Capt. Tim Hawkins, a US Central Command spokesman, said that the US military struck Iran harder than Iran hit it.  “Centcom rightfully prioritized the protection of people over buildings, and our strategy of protecting people worked,” Hawkins told The Wall Street Journal. “Iran shot more than 8,000 missiles and drones, and only two hits resulted in US fatalities.” The extensive damage “has the US re-evaluating its entire footprint in the region,” US officials told The Wall Street Journal. Retired Navy V.-Adm. Kevin Donegan, a US Navy Commander in the Middle East, expects the US does not want to completely remove its presence in Bahrain, given their strong alliance. Some of Israel’s security officials approve the establishment of American bases in Israel. “A permanent American presence in Israel will require an air defense envelope, and beyond that, it will strengthen the long-term relationship between the militaries and the administrations on the strategic level,” a security source told Walla. No final decisions have been announced by the US yet. A long-term American presence in Israel gives the US better access to the US Civil-Military Coordination Center (CMCC) at Kiryat Gat, and it can better monitor the ongoing operations in Gaza and the Middle East region. Meanwhile, in his next visit to Israel later this week, CENTCOM Commander Adm. Brad Cooper plans to negotiate the Lebanon ceasefire terms and further define the withdrawal lines of the IDF from southern Lebanon. The Lebanese government and Hezbollah want withdrawals that are less modest than those the IDF is offering. USAF presence in Israel has made things harder for Israel Israel has already made room for America since the onset of the 2026 Iran war. Ben-Gurion Airport hosted USAF refueling aircraft over the course of the war, which interfered with the flexibility of Israel’s airspace and airport operations. Not all officials received US military presence in Israel with open arms. Civil Aviation Authority head Shmuel Zakai once called Ben-Gurion a “US military base,” given its constant presence of American planes.

NN: USA got its ass kicked up and down main street from  A to Z.  That is the worst defeat America ever had, Hamulating. Every base the US had in the gulf were          o obliterated Over 15 aircraft were lost. Including F25’s (friendly fire my ass) and state of the art F35’s AWACS to name a few. All the buildings destroyed. The most sophisticated earth station system with their satellite dishes and radar all gone. The US military sleeping at the switch did realize the devastation these weapon could dish out. The key miscalculations were the fact Iranian missiles and drone systems are buried deep underground. Making them out of reach of US air power. AND the launch sights undetected till after launch were so close to the US bases they were impossible to shoot down. That is why Trump caved in. And the fact he needs under $2.50 gas until after the elections.

EIA Weekly Petroleum Report

Inventory  Data for the week ending June 26, 2026

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 3.8 million barrels from the previous week. At 408.4 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are about 7% below the five-year average for this time of year. U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 17.2 million barrels per day during the week ending June 26, 2026, which was 85 thousand barrels per day more than the previous week’s average. Refineries operated at 96.6% of their operable capacity last week. Gasoline production increased last week, averaging 10.0 million barrels per day. Distillate fuel production decreased, averaging 5.2 million barrels per day. U.S. crude oil imports averaged 5.3 million barrels per day last week, decreased by 291 thousand
barrels per day from the previous week. Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports averaged about 5.5 million barrels per day, 10.9% less than the same four-week period last year. Total motor gasoline imports (including both finished gasoline and gasoline blending components) last week averaged 639 thousand barrels per day, and distillate fuel imports averaged 108 thousand barrels per day. average for this time of year. Both finished gasoline and blending component inventories decreased last week. Distillate fuel inventories increased by 2.5 million barrels last week and are about 8% below the five-year average for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories increased by 1.3 million barrels from last week and are 33% above the five-year average for this time of year. Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased by 0.7 million barrels last week. Total products supplied over the last four-week period averaged 20.6 million barrels per day, up
by 1.7% from the same period last year. Over the past four weeks, motor gasoline product supplied averaged 9.0 million barrels per dadown by 2.6% from the same period last year. Distillate fuel product supplied averaged 3.7 million barrels per day over the past four weeks,
down by 1.9% from the same period last year. Jet  fuel product supplied was up 0.6% compared with the same four-week period last year.

F-35Bs Delivered Without Radars

The U.S. Marine Corps thus far has received six F-35B fighters without radars, as the service waits on Northrop Grumman‘s delivery of the AN/APG-85 radar, which is to replace the current APG-81, also by Northrop Grumman. “The Marine Corps has been accepting airplanes with no radar in it, is that correct?” Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.), ranking member of the Senate Armed Services Committee’s (SASC) airland panel, asked Marine Lt. Gen. Gregory Masiello, the F-35 program executive officer, at a June 23 hearing. “We have accepted six aircraft for the Marine Corps that do not have a radar installed,” Masiello replied. “That is correct.” Kelly then stated that his assumption was that the Marines “want to wait for the APG-85.” “They do,” Masiello said.  Radar mountings in the F-35’s nose are different for the APG-81 and the APG-85 radar–a difference which has helped complicate fielding of the new radar which was to deliver with F-35 Lot 17. The Air Force has been considering an APG-81/APG-85 dual-mount bulkhead, though the latter may take two years to field. The service’s fiscal 2027 future years defense plan (FYDP) contains $133 million in fiscal 2031 for retrofitting 14 F-35As with APG-85s–a unit cost of $9.5 million per radar, and outside the FYDP the service said it plans to spend about $1.6 billion to retrofit another 167 jets with the APG-85. The Air Force, Navy, and Marine Corps have 832 F-35s out of a global inventory of more than 1,300 on 42 bases and 13 ships–10 U.S. ones and three allied ones, according to the F-35 program. The APG-85 is critical to the 55 upgrades in the Block 4 program–22 of which have fielded so far, including seven last year, and six on target for this year, Masiello testified on June 23. For full functionality, the APG-85 and Block 4 require 62 kilowatts to 80 kilowatts (kW) of cooling, however, versus the 32 kW on the plane now. The current mission capable rate of the F-35 is 56 percent, and the full mission capable rate is 25 percent. In October, 2018, then Defense Secretary Jim Mattis told the Air Force and Navy to boost the mission capable rates of their key fighters to 80 percent within a year. “My job is clear: deliver a reliable and affordable system capable of sustaining high operational tempo, with a path to achieving 80 percent mission capable rates no later than 2030,” Masiello said in his prepared testimony on June 23. Sustainment is another significant challenge for the F-35 program, as it seeks to boost the inventory of spare parts and support more fighters. “Our current sustainment system was built to support a fleet of 700-800 aircraft,” Masiello said in his prepared remarks on June 23. “To date, the government has accepted over 1,300 F-35 aircraft worldwide. To address this scaling challenge, we reset our sustainment strategy, increased government oversight, and optimized all aspects of sustainment planning and execution. We are right-sizing spare parts based on validated performance modeling, updating our maintenance processes to enable effective maintenance at all levels, and modernizing our logistics digital systems to enable audit, enhance government control, and connect F-35 with the broader Joint Force.” The Pentagon FYDP includes more than $13 billion for the F-35’s Global Support Solution (GSS) Reset.

NN: A crumbling empire. Maybe the radar is not included in the 200 million price, Those upgrades are a killer

US, Iran said to agree to release $3B of frozen assets

The United States and Iran reached a preliminary agreement to release $3 billion of Iranian frozen assets, Saudi news outlet Al-Hadath reported on Wednesday, citing sources familiar with the technical talks that started today in Doha, Qatar. Meanwhile, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei previously said that the two countries will be discussing the implementation of the memorandum of understanding during the indirect talks in Doha, including the frozen funds, after Iran’s President Masoud  Pezeshkian confirmed that it was agreed that Qatar will release $6 billion out of the $12 billion in Iranian assets frozen in Qatar.

NN: To the victor belongs the spoils. At least for now!

Trump said to be against return to Iran war for now

United States President Donald Trump has considered resuming full-scale military action against Iran but has chosen to continue diplomatic talks for now, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing US officials familiar with the matter. Officials said Trump held several rounds of talks with US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine focused on whether Washington should restart attacks. Trump reportedly indicated that another round of strikes could undermine negotiations, though he has not ruled out future military action.

NN: Wait till after the elections. Their will be hell to pay!

 

Trump: Gasoline retailers must cut prices

United States President Donald Trump urged gasoline retailers to cut prices “IMMEDIATELY,” saying oil has dropped to $68 a barrel and is still falling. In a post on Truth Social, Trump said fuel costs remain too high and warned of “big problems” if companies fail to act. He called for prices to move toward $2.50 a gallon and criticized California’s taxes, saying they risk exceeding the cost of the product itself. “The Retailers must quickly react to this statement, and do what they know is right — DROP YOUR PRICE FOR OUR GREAT AMERICAN PEOPLE,” he wrote.

NN: See the game?  The game has changed. Its moot about nukes. Its not about leadership change in Iran. Its very very simple its ALL ABOUT THE MIDTERM elections. And Trump believes if he can show the war is over and no inflation he has a winning ticket. And the proof is gasoline prices under $3.00 which he will get by hook or by crook. My bet is crook. And after the elections Trump does not care about oil prices. AND the deal has been made with the oil companies. As a foot note:  then he will reverse his humiliation and go after the Iranian savages with a vengeance. 

Trump: Oil, gas prices coming down

United States President Donald Trump took to Truth Social on Monday to hail the fact that oil and gas prices have been in decline since the country signed the memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Iran. In one post, Trump insisted that gas prices are “going down, fast,” while also urging the public to “report any abuses at retail level.”In another, Trump noted that the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is at $69 per barrel, and “heading down.” “This is less than it was prior to the start of the Denuclearization of Iran!” he claimed.

NN:  Trump  is right oil prices are at the same level when the straights were supplying  20 million barrels per day. With the oil market in deficit of 900 million barrels how is this possible? Well let me explain this mystery. Its called price manipulation to get gasoline prices under $3.00 a gallon for the elections. They can do this by moving delivers forward too temporarily plug the gap. The problem is the world will be short oil for the coming winter heating season. And it is my prediction prices will pop up again.