IDF: Operations against Iran to last several days

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) stated that it expects its operations against Iran’s nuclear program, as well as its long-range missile capabilities, to last for several days, the Times of Israel reported. IDF officials stated that “at the end of the operation, there will be no nuclear threat” from Iran. The officials stated that the country was “in a window of strategic opportunities,” adding that they had reached “a point of no return,” stating that there was “no choice but to act now.” Additionally, the IDF stated it was coordinating with the US in the operation, contradicting earlier reports that the US would not aid Israel in any attack on Iran.

Trump: Israel strike on Iran could ‘very well happen’

https://youtu.be/6s5a7W6iA5U

United States President Donald Trump said on Thursday there is a strong chance that Israel could launch an attack on Iran, though he stopped short of calling it immediate.”I would not say imminent, but it [Israel striking Iran] is something that… could very well happen,” Trump told a reporter when asked about the risk of further escalation. He continued to underscore that the Israeli side did not disclose its plans. “But look, there is a chance of massive conflict. We have a lot of American people in this area, and I said we gotta tell them to get out, cause something could happen soon. And I don’t want to be the one who didn’t give any warning, and missiles are flying into their buildings. It’s possible. So I had to do it,” the president explained, talking about the personnel evacuation.

Israel said to have informed US it’s ready to launch Iran op

United States officials have allegedly been told that Israel is now “fully ready” to launch an operation into Iran, which is part of the reason behind Washington’s evacuation of diplomatic personnel from Iraq and military families from several bases in the region, CBS News’ Jennifer Jacobs reported. Washington is anticipating that Tehran could retaliate for the Israeli strikes by launching attacks on “certain US sites” in Iraq, Jacobs wrote on X. Even so, White House envoy Steve Witkoff is still planning to attend what is reportedly becoming an “increasingly unlikely” sixth round of US-Iran nuclear talks, scheduled to take place on Sunday.A previous report suggested that Israel assured the White House it wouldn’t attack Iran’s nuclear facilities unless US President Donald Trump signals that talks with Tehran reached a dead end.

NN: Black Mask Pod Cast:

good cop bad cop

 

U.S. Embassy Prepares Iraq Evacuation

  • Officials cite ‘heightened security risks’ for decision
  • US has previously threatened to strike Iran
  • US military dependents authorised to leave region
BAGHDAD/WASHINGTON, June 11 (Reuters) – The United States is preparing a partial evacuation of its Iraqi embassy and will allow military dependents to leave locations around the Middle East due to heightened security risks in the region, U.S. and Iraqi sources said on Wednesday.
The four U.S. and two Iraqi sources did not specify which security risks had prompted the decision to evacuate and the State Department did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Oil prices rose on the report of the evacuation.
The United States has a military presence in Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates.
U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has authorized the voluntary departure of military dependents from locations across the Middle East, a U.S. official said. Another U.S. official said that was mostly relevant to family members located in Bahrain — where the bulk of them are based.
“The State Department is set to have an ordered departure for (the) U.S. embassy in Baghdad. The intent is to do it through commercial means, but the U.S. military is standing by if help is requested,” a third U.S. official said.
Advertisement · Scroll to continue An Iraqi foreign ministry official said a “partial evacuation” of U.S. embassy staff had been confirmed due to what the official termed “potential security concerns related to possible regional tensions.”
Another U.S. official said that there was no change in operations at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, the largest U.S. military base in the Middle East and that no evacuation order had been issued for employees or families linked to the U.S. embassy in Qatar, which was operating as usual. Oil futures climbed $3 on reports of the Baghdad evacuation with Brent crude futures at $69.18 a barrel. Iraq, a rare regional partner of both the United States and its arch regional foe Iran, hosts 2,500 U.S. troops and has Tehran-backed armed factions linked to its security forces.
NN: Trump has put Israel on a short leash. And about to cave in to Iranian demands

Iran using nuclear talks to weaken potential Israeli strikes.. Trump tells Netanyahu he now opposes military attack on Iran

Iran is “exploiting the time to modify nuclear facilities in ways that could diminish the impact of a potential military strike on those sites and their outcomes,” sources said. Against the backdrop of recent satellite images showing construction and changes at Iran’s nuclear sites, Western intelligence officials have warned  that Tehran is using the time afforded by ongoing nuclear negotiations to make alterations that would reduce the effectiveness of any future military strike.

“While nuclear talks are taking place—and Iran keeps scheduling yet another meeting—they are exploiting the time to modify nuclear facilities in ways that could diminish the impact of a potential military strike on those sites and its outcomes,” said the intelligence sources.
Foreign reports and think tank reports have flagged a trend since October 2024, when Israel successfully destroyed all of Tehran’s advanced S-300 anti-aircraft missile systems, of Iran trying to move aspects of its national security assets underground, spread out to more locations, and to finish a new nuclear facility at Natanz. This past Spring, Iran also unveiled multiple videos of underground “missile cities” and other military sites, where it could also move sources of its national power which are currently above ground.
Regarding the new Natanz nuclear facility underneath a mountain even deeper than the Fordow facility, construction started years ago, but less than two months ago a paper by the Institute for Science and International Security noted recent changes which appeared to show a potential rush process to finish aspects of the facility to make it operational sooner. There is a wide-ranging debate about whether Israel could strike Iranian military assets if they were moved to this new facility.
In recent weeks, senior Israeli and European officials have cautioned top members of the US administration that Iran is deliberately stalling in the negotiations.

The issue was also raised in a phone call this week between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US President Donald Trump. “Tehran is simply buying time,” Netanyahu warned the American president. As previously reported by the Post, European officials have similarly warned their US counterparts that Iran is dragging out the talks in an attempt to create a rift between Europe and the United States over the snapback mechanism—UN Security Council sanctions on Iran that can only be reimposed until mid-October. Under the 2015 nuclear agreement, the member states have the authority to impose broad United Nations Security Council sanctions on Iran through a mechanism known as the snapback, in response to major violations of Iran’s nuclear commitments. This option will no longer be available after October, the “sunset date”. The European signatories have made it clear to Iran that if a new and “meaningful” nuclear deal is not reached by August, they will trigger this mechanism, which would result in extensive sanctions on Iran. “The Europeans told the United States that there must be a clear timeline for the negotiations; otherwise, the Iranians will deliberately stall to create a US-Europe confrontation in an effort to block the use of the sanctions mechanism,” several sources told the Post.
Trump tells Netanyahu he now opposes military attack on Iran

US President Donald Trump has told Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu in their Monday phone call that he believes there is a chance of reaching a nuclear deal with Iran and he now opposes military action, Axios reported, quoting an Israeli and a US official. According to the portal, Netanyahu claimed that Tehran must see “a credible military threat.” “Trump did not sound convinced by this reasoning,” a source said.

Brigadier General Aziz Nasirzadeh, Iran’s Minister of Defense, has called recent Israeli threats against Iran “sheer nonsense,” asserting that the regime lacks the capability to pose a real threat to Iran. In an interview with Al Mayadeen, Nasirzadeh stated that Iran possesses such power that Israel cannot threaten it. “Any malicious action by the Zionist regime will result in its own destruction.” He further added that those who are actually capable of threatening Iran do not speak in such a manner. “The statements from Israeli officials are baseless and empty talk.” Commenting on the same issue, the Commander-in-Chief of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Major General Hossein Salami, declared that Iran is fully prepared to face any possible scenario. General Salami emphasized Iran’s complete readiness to confront any threat and reaffirmed the Islamic Republic’s firm resolve to safeguard national sovereignty and the rights of the Iranian people. NN:

UK warns of increased tensions in Persian Gulf……. CENTCOM chief presented options for Iran strike

The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said on Wednesday that it received reports of increased tensions in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman and Straits of Hormuz. It warned the situation could lead to an “escalation of military activity having a direct impact on mariners.”  The UKMTO advised vessels to transit the area with caution and report incidents or suspicious activity.

CENTCOM chief presented options for Iran strike

United States Central Command (CENTCOM) chief, General Michael Kurilla, revealed Tuesday that the Pentagon presented President Donald Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth with a “wide range of options” for a strike on Iran if no agreement about its nuclear program was reached. During his testimony before the House Armed Services Committee on US military posture in the Middle East and Africa, Kurilla referred to Iran as a “malign” actor, emphasizing the importance of deterrence for regional stability. The latest round of US-Iran talks is expected to be held in Oman on Sunday. Meanwhile, Trump repeatedly declared that failure to reach an agreement would lead to military action against Iran.

IEA Weekly Petroleum Report

 Data for the week ending June 6, 2025

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve)decreased by 3.6 million barrels from the previous week. At 432.4 million barrels, U.S. crude oilinventories are about 8% below the five year average for this time of year. U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 17.2 million barrels per day during the week ending June 6, 2025, which was 228 thousand barrels per day more than the previous week’s average. Refineries operated at 94.3% of their operable capacity last week. Gasoline production increased last week, averaging 9.7 million barrels per day. Distillate fuel production decreased by 97 thousand barrels per day last week, averaging 4.9 million barrels per day. U.S. crude oil imports averaged 6.2 million barrels per day last week, decreased by 170 thousand barrels per day from the previous week. Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports averaged about 6.2 million barrels per day, 13.3% less than the same four-week period last year. Total motor gasoline imports (including both finished gasoline and gasoline blending components) last week averaged 914 thousand barrels per day, and distillate fuel imports averaged 104 thousandbarrels per day. Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 1.5 million barrels from last week and are about 2% below the five year average for this time of year. Both finished gasoline inventories and blending components inventories increased last week. Distillate fuel inventories increased by 1.2 million barrels last week and are about 17% below the five year average for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories increased by 4 million barrels from last week and are 6% above the five year average for this time of year. Total commercial petroleum inventories increased by 6.2 million barrels last week. Total products supplied over the last four-week period averaged 19.9 million barrels a day, up by 0.5% from the same period last year. Over the past four weeks, motor gasoline product supplied
averaged 8.9 million barrels a day, down by 2.5% from the same period last year. Distillate fuel product supplied averaged 3.5 million barrels a day over the past four weeks, down by 5.9% from the same period last year. Jet fuel product supplied was up 1.3% compared with the same

Trump ‘less confident’ about Iran nuclear deal

United States President Donald Trump said during a New York Post podcast interview on Tuesday that he is “less confident” about reaching a nuclear deal with Iran. “They seem to be delaying it … I think it’s a shame,” the president clarified, adding he is now less confident about a potential deal with Tehran “than he would’ve been a couple of months ago.” Trump went on to argue that “something happened” to the Iranian side, although he did not specify what. “I have instincts about things … maybe they don’t wanna make a deal, and maybe they do, there’s nothing final.” Furthermore, the president declared Iran “won’t have a nuclear weapon” regardless of whether they make a deal or not. “It would be nicer to do [it] without warfare,” he concluded.

Musk regrets some things he said about Trump

Billionaire Elon Musk said on his social network X that he regrets “some things he said” about United States President Donald Trump last week, adding that they “went too far.” Musk and Trump started a public feud after Musk left the administration and criticized Trump’s flagship spending bill. Musk posted, then deleted, several claims about Trump, including that the president is in the so-called Epstein files, which are documents compiled about financier and sex offender Jeffrey Epstein. In response, Trump threatened to cancel government contracts awarded to Musk’s companies and the electric vehicle mandate, which would hurt Musk’s automaker Tesla Inc.

NN: elon stop the drugs before they destroy you

Iran to force US out of region, if talks fall through

Iran’s Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh said on Wednesday that the United States will be forced to leave the region if the nuclear talks between the two countries fall through and conflict is imposed on Tehran. “I announce on behalf of the Iranian nation and the armed forces that we hope that the negotiations will reach a conclusion and that things will not go that far. However, if the negotiations do not reach a conclusion and a conflict is imposed on us, the casualties of the other side will certainly be far greater than ours, and in that case, America will be forced to leave the region because all of its bases are within our reach and we have access to them, and we will target them all in the host countries without consideration,” Nasirzadeh said, reiterating his last month’s warnings. The Iranian minister also confirmed that Tehran successfully tested a missile with a two-ton warhead in the previous week.

NN: that’s enough to carry one of their nukes to Israel