Biden’s buddies discover another treasure trove of top secret documents he was not suppose to have.. but anything for your kids

A second haul of classified documents belonging to President Biden have been located, a new report revealed Wednesday — two days after the White House admitted secret papers were kept at an office the commander-in-chief used after leaving the Obama administration. NBC News reported the new documents were found at a separate location from the Penn Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement in Washington, where an initial tranche of 10 sensitive files — some of them marked “top secret” — were retrieved on Nov. 2, 2022. It was not immediately clear when or where the second group of documents were found, when they date from, and what level of classification they have been given. The first batch of 10 documents included intelligence memos and other materials concerning Iran, Ukraine and the United Kingdom, CNN reported Tuesday. The papers were dated between 2013 and 2016 and mixed in with Biden family documents, including details on the funeral arrangements for the president’s late son, Beau. Biden made his first public comments about the matter Tuesday during a news conference in Mexico City, saying he was “surprised” to learn that records from the Obama White House had been found at his office in the Penn Biden Center — which he used for almost two full years after leaving the vice presidency. “I don’t know what’s in the documents,” the president said. “My lawyers have not suggested I ask what documents they were. I’ve turned over the boxes, they’ve turned over the boxes to the [National ]Archives, and we’re cooperating fully, cooperating fully with the review, which I hope will be finished soon, and there’ll be more detail at that time.” Chicago US Attorney John Lausch, an appointee of former President Donald Trump, reportedly has submitted a preliminary report on the documents to Attorney General Merrick Garland. It is not clear whether Lausch only reviewed the documents recovered from the Penn Biden Center or whether he had access to any other documents that may have been found. On Wednesday, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre deflected further questions about the scandal, citing what she called the “ongoing process.”  At one point in the briefing, which took place just before the report emerged that additional documents had been found, Jean-Pierre was asked: “There are no assurances that you can provide at this point that there are no other classified documents out there in any other office and/or home?” “Again, this is an ongoing process, so I’m going to let the process continue,” Jean-Pierre said. “It is being reviewed by the Department of Justice, and I’m just going to leave it there.” Privately, an administration official told The Post that the White House was reluctant to shed more light on the document issue because “anything you say could potentially f— up” the Justice Department review by appearing to influence the process.While Democrats and Biden allies have tried to absolve the 80-year-old president of wrongdoing by claiming that the documents were immediately turned over to the National Archives upon their discovery, that does not explain why the papers were allowed to leave the White House and be kept out of federal custody for almost six full years. It’s also unclear what the lawyers who found the documents at the Penn Biden Center were looking for or why they were clearing out an office that apparently sat unused for more than three years. It’s also not known where else the documents may have been kept before the Penn Biden Center opened in February 2018. Republicans, meanwhile, have expressed outrage at the difference in treatment of Biden and former President Donald Trump, 76, who is under a federal investigation led by special counsel Jack Smith for storing classified information at his Mar-a-Lago resort after leaving office in January 2021. “If you believe a special counsel’s necessary to assure the public about the handling of classified documents by Donald Trump, you should apply a special counsel to the mishandling of classified documents by President Biden when he was vice president,” Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) told Fox News.

“The idea of prosecuting President Trump for mishandling classified information after this has gone down dramatically.”

“Special counsel,” Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) reacted to the latest report on Twitter Wednesday. “How many classified documents did this guy have?” asked the House GOP’s official Twitter account. “‘Totally irresponsible,’” quipped House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer (R-Ky.), referring to Biden’s comment about Trump’s retention of documents in a Sept. 18 “60 Minutes” interview.

“Did the @FBI raid the Biden Center?” asked the House Judiciary Committee, a reference to the Aug. 8 sweep that removed dozens of classified documents from Mar-a-Lago.

“No one is buying the White House is telling us the truth,” Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) tweeted succinctly. In addition to the DOJ and FBI investigation, the House Oversight Committee is launching its own investigation into why the initial discovery — which came six days before the midterm elections — was not made public at once.

Humongous Build in Crude oil inventories… rising by 14.865 million barrels

Crude oil inventories rose by 14.865 million barrels, American Petroleum Institute (API) data showed on Tuesday, as refining activity begins to return to normal following previous weather-related shutdowns. U.S. crude inventories increased 13 million barrels over the course of 2022, according to API data, while crude stored in the nation’s Strategic Petroleum Reserves sunk by 221 million barrels.

The large build in commercial crude oil inventories comes as the Department of Energy released 0.8 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves in the week ending January 6, leaving the SPR with just 371.6 million barrels. The SPR now contains the least amount of crude oil since early December 1983. It also comes as refiners were still working to restart refineries after cold-induced shutdowns.  U.S. crude oil production rose to 12.1 million bpd in the final week of the year, bringing the total production increase for 2022 to 400,000 bpd , and 1 million bpd lower than peak production seen in March 2020 NN: These are the missing barrels showing up… And their is a lot of excess barrels that need to be burned off… After the COVID die off China will come to the rescue

Goldman job cuts begin with investment banking, global markets hit hard

  • Mass redundancies, spending review beckons for Wall Street giant
  • Cuts to all major divisions expected, globally
  • Restructuring in Asian wealth unit kicks off Wednesday’s layoffs

LONDON/HONG KONG/NEW YORK, Jan 11 (Reuters) – Goldman Sachs (GS.N) began laying off staff on Wednesday in a sweeping cost-cutting drive, with around a third of those affected coming from the investment banking and global markets division, a source familiar with the matter said.

The long-expected jobs cull at the Wall Street titan, expected to represent the biggest contraction in headcount since the financial crisis, is likely to affect most of the bank’s major divisions, with its investment banking arm facing the deepest cuts, a source told Reuters this month.

 

 

LONDON/HONG KONG/NEW YORK, Jan 11 (Reuters) – Goldman Sachs (GS.N) began laying off staff on Wednesday in a sweeping cost-cutting drive, with around a third of those affected coming from the investment banking and global markets division, a source familiar with the matter said.

The long-expected jobs cull at the Wall Street titan, expected to represent the biggest contraction in headcount since the financial crisis, is likely to affect most of the bank’s major divisions, with its investment banking arm facing the deepest cuts, a source told Reuters this month. Just over 3,000 employees will be let go, the source, who could not be named, said on Jan. 9. A separate source confirmed on Wednesday that cuts had started. The layoffs began in Asia on Wednesday, where Goldman completed cutting back its private wealth management business and let go of 16 private banking staff across its Hong Kong, Singapore and China offices, a source with knowledge of the matter said. NN: They are not having the biggest layoffs in their history because they anticipate good times… Their is a blood bath on the street. Good news is a fresh supply of bar tenders and lab dancers are guarantee……

Why Thursday’s U.S. CPI report might kill stock market’s hope of inflation melting away

Stock-market optimism that the peak of inflation is behind us leaves little room for error, says Kramer of Mott Capital Management

Investors should not have unrealistic expectations regarding the pace at which U.S. inflation subsides in 2023, analysts argue, ahead of Thursday’s consumer price index report for December which may test the mild rally in stocks in the new year and may determine the size of the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate rise in February. The December CPI reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services, is expected to show a 6.5% rise from a year earlier, slowing from a 7.1% year-over-year rise seen in the previous month, according to a survey of economists by Dow Jones. The core price measure that strips out volatile food and fuel costs, is expected to rise 0.3% from November, or 5.7% year over year.  The December CPI will be particularly important for influencing the Fed’s decision in its upcoming meeting which concludes February 1, said economists at Pimco. They expect the inflation and labor market data will have moderated sufficiently will push the central bank to pause rate hikes before their May meeting.  “After hiking 50 basis points at the December meeting, we expect the Fed moves to a 25bp hiking pace in early February, and ultimately pause around 5%,” wrote Pimco’s economists Tiffany Wilding and Allison Boxer, in a Tuesday note.  However, since the Fed’s December meeting, officials have relentlessly signaled the central bank will need to raise interest rates above 5% in order to get inflation to the 2% target, with no interest rate cuts expected this year. Fed funds futures traders now see a 78% likelihood of a 25 basis point hike at its February meeting, and a 68% chance of another in March, which would bring the terminal rate to merely 4.75-5% by mid-year, according to the CME FedWatch tool. After two lower-than-expected CPI readings, which have given the market hope that inflation will melt away quickly, the December reading for inflation is essential to keep alive the market’s hopes for falling inflation, Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management said in a Monday note. “Inflation swaps currently see inflation falling below 2.5% by the summer of 2023, which seems hopeful,” Kramer said. “This week’s CPI reading will be essential in maintaining that view and could prove disastrous if CPI comes in hotter than expected, veering market-based inflation expectations off course.” The stock market is looking for an “around 5%” increase in December’s core inflation, said Rhys Williams, chief strategist at Spouting Rock Asset Management. “If you get a number in the low four [percent], the stock-market rally will continue. The market is very hyper-focused on data points.”  U.S. stocks had a positive start to 2023 with hopes that cooling inflation and a potential recession may persuade the central bank to ease off the pace at which it is raising its policy interest rate.  Williams thinks inflation is coming down but it will not hit the central bank’s 2% mark by summer 2023. “I think at some point the markets will realize, ‘oh we can’t get to 2%,” and then the markets probably do sell off on that. I think maybe in short term [the stocks go] up and then in the second quarter, they go back down as people realize that 2% is not realistic,”

Wells Fargo to retire from housing market. Retire my ass they are headed for the hills

Jan 10 (Reuters) – Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) will slim down its home lending business by reducing its mortgage servicing portfolio and exiting the correspondent lending business, the company said on Tuesday. “We are making the decision to continue to reduce risk in the mortgage business by reducing its size and narrowing its focus,” Kleber Santos, the bank’s chief executive for consumer lending, said in a statement. Demand for mortgages and refinancing has weakened as U.S. interest rates climbed, making it more costly to buy homes. The slowdown prompted Wells Fargo to cut thousands of jobs in is mortgage unit across the country last year. The company will report fourth-quarter results on Friday. Analysts expect a profit of 62 cents a share, compared with $1.25 in the year ago quarter, according to data from Refinitiv. The bank also plans to invest an additional $100 million to advance racial equity in home ownership, it said. In December, the U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau hit Wells Fargo with its largest ever civil penalty as part of a $3.7 billion agreement to settle charges over widespread mismanagement of car loans, mortgages and bank accounts. NN:  They are not stopping being Americas biggest mortgage originator because things are good. Remember they see the deterioration in the housing markets first. They are getting out while the getting is good. Remember the foreclosure monster of the 2008 wipeout…. Well their back!

Intel files on Ukraine, Iran, UK found in Biden’s……Discovered 2 days before the election private office

Classified documents from Joe Biden’s time as vice president found in a private office last fall contain confidential US intelligence memos and information on topics such as Ukraine, Iran, and the United Kingdom, CNN reported Tuesday, citing a source familiar with the matter. Among the documents discovered, there are at least ten with classification markings, dated between 2013 and 2016. In addition, the boxes with these classifications also include personal files concerning the Biden family, and Beau Biden’s funeral, the source said. Previously, Fox News and CNN reported that a set of classified government documents from the Obama administration was discovered in a private office of Biden. The documents were found in a sealed closet at the Penn Biden Center. The classified material was identified by personal attorneys for Biden on Nov. 2, days before the midterm elections, Richard Sauber, special counsel to the president, said in a statement on Monday. The Penn Biden Center is named for Biden, who periodically used the office space from mid-2017 until the start of his 2020 presidential campaign. The White House Counsel’s Office notified the National Archives on the day of the discovery of those documents, Sauber said, adding the National Archives took possession of the material on the following morning. NN BlackMask Blog: 

Trump the luckiest guy alive

Powell: Fed needs independence to fight inflation

STOCKHOLM, Jan 10 (Reuters) – The Federal Reserve’s independence from political influence is central to its ability to battle inflation, but requires it stay out of issues like climate change that are beyond its congressionally-established mandate, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Tuesday. “Restoring price stability when inflation is high can require measures that are not popular in the short term as we raise interest rates to slow the economy. The absence of direct political control over our decisions allows us to take these necessary measures without considering short-term political factors,” Powell said in prepared remarks to a forum on central bank independence sponsored by the Swedish central bank.

 

STOCKHOLM, Jan 10 (Reuters) – The Federal Reserve’s independence from political influence is central to its ability to battle inflation, but requires it stay out of issues like climate change that are beyond its congressionally-established mandate, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Tuesday.

“Restoring price stability when inflation is high can require measures that are not popular in the short term as we raise interest rates to slow the economy.

The absence of direct political control over our decisions allows us to take these necessary measures without considering short-term political factors,” Powell said in prepared remarks to a forum on central bank independence sponsored by the Swedish central bank. But “we should ‘stick to our knitting’ and not wander off to pursue perceived social benefits that are not tightly linked to our statutory goals and authorities,” Powell said. “Taking on new goals, however worthy, without a clear statutory mandate would undermine the case for our independence.”The need for the U.S. central bank to manage inflation through interest rates and other policy is “well understood and broadly accepted,” Powell said, and embodied in a federal law that charges the Fed with maintaining maximum employment and stable prices

 

Goldman predicts a $30 increase in oil prices by next winter

  • Goldman Sachs believes solid demand growth could send Brent climbing to $105 by the fourth quarter of 2023.
  • China has now reopened its borders and allocated large crude oil import quotas to its refiners, supporting the thesis for strong demand growth.
  • Goldman Sachs believes the downside for oil markets is limited due to the ability of OPEC+ to intervene in oil markets.

Solid growth in global oil demand is set to drive oil prices to above $100 this year and Brent Crude could trade at $105 per barrel by the fourth quarter, according to Goldman Sachs.   World oil demand is set to increase by 2.7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023 and the market would return to deficit in the second half of the year, the U.S. investment bank said in a note carried by The National. China’s re-opening and the huge crude oil import quotas just allocated to private refiners in the world’s largest crude oil importer signal expectations that Chinese demand is set for a rebound once the exit Covid wave wanes, analysts say. Oil prices jumped by 4% on Monday after China’s borders reopening this weekend—after almost three years. Market participants focused – at least for a day – on brighter prospects of oil demand, instead of on fears that recessions in developed economies are imminent. Expectations of solid demand growth this year should allow the OPEC+ group to unwind in the second half of 2023 the production cut announced in October, Goldman Sachs said. But if demand is softer than predicted, OPEC+ “could stick to its October cuts or cut production even further, given its significant pricing power,” the bank said. “Overall, this ‘Opec put’ limits the downside risks to our bullish oil price forecast,” Goldman Sachs noted. Last month, the bank said that the Chinese reopening could lift oil prices by $15 per barrel, as China’s demand could increase by 1 million bpd on average between 2022 and 2023. In mid-December, Goldman said that supply shortages and insufficient investment in new supply would result in a bumper year for commodities in 2023. Commodities are set to be the best-performing asset class in 2023, the bank’s strategists said. The first quarter of 2023 could be more underwhelming than the rest of the year due to the expected slowdown in economies, but the low levels of investment in oil, gas, and key metals will continue to underpin what Goldman has called a new supercycle in commodities. NN: The way i see it is i have a $10.00 risk to the downside and a $40.00 potential to the upside. This is a trade i am compelled to make.

Europe had second-warmest year on record in 2022, EU scientists sayEurope had second-warmest year on record in 2022, EU scientists say

 

 

BRUSSELS, Jan 10 (Reuters) – Europe experienced its second-warmest year on record in 2022, European Union scientists said on Tuesday, as climate change unleashed record-breaking weather extremes that slashed crop yields, dried up rivers and led to thousands of deaths. The last eight years were the world’s eight hottest on record, C3S said.

The European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service shares its findings on the global climate for 2022 The annual global average temperature in 2022 was about 1.2 degrees Celsius above the reference period of 1850-1900
The European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service shares its findings on the global climate for 2022 The annual global average temperature in 2022 was about 1.2 degrees Celsius above the reference period of 1850-1900

The planet is now 1.2C warmer than in pre-industrial times, as a result of human-caused climate change, C3S said. Copernicus said temperatures in Europe have increased by more than twice the global average over the last three decades. “We are already experiencing the devastating consequences of our warming world,” said C3S deputy director Samantha Burgess, who called for urgent action to cut CO2 emissions and adapt to the changing climate. NN: The earth is in a naturally occurring global warming cycle. It has happened before. Unless you think cave men camp fires caused the last climate change. Intelligent people may be able to grasp the fact that temperature cycles have been oscillating between cycle of warming and cooling for millions of years. I have dug up sea shell shells in limestone deposits in Michigan. And frozen furn leaves in the ice in the article circle in Norway…. Drove their in the summertime. (did not find the Woolly Mammoth tusks i was promised)…. So Europe dodged a bullet at great expense….. For now!

Russia Works On Measures To Curb Discounts On Its Oil Prices

MOSCOW, Jan 10 (Reuters) – The Russian energy ministry said on Tuesday it has been working on additional measures to limit discounts to international benchmarks on Russian oil prices, after the West imposed price caps. Russia is the world’s second largest oil exporter after Saudi Arabia, with oil and gas sales accounting for almost half of the country’s state budget revenue. President Vladimir Putin last month signed a decree that banned the supply of crude oil and oil products from Feb. 1 for five months to nations that abide by the cap. Russian oil traditionally sells at a discount to international benchmarks, such as Brent. The discount , has widened following Western sanctions over Ukraine and now stands at some $25-$30 per barrel to dated Brent . “The presidential decree published in December bans Russian companies from referring to the illegal price cap limitations in any way, directly or indirectly. This ban extends to any transactions with Russian crude oil up to the end user, which implies not working with traders who do not enforce the measure,” the Energy Ministry said in a statement. NN: They are the worlds largest combined natural gas and oil exporter. I am sure they will figure something out.

Fed’s Bostic: Rates to stay high well into 2024…… Fed is willing to overshoot on rate hikes.

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said on Monday that interest rates will have to remain at a high level “well into 2024” and that would it be fair to assume the Fed is willing to overshoot on rate hikes. Speaking at an event hosted by the Rotary Club of Atlanta, he specified that persistent services sector inflation has become more problematic than goods inflation, contrary to the trend seen in recent years. Bostic also warned against declaring a win against elevated price growth, adding that he believes the economy can handle the ongoing monetary policy tightening. He also pointed out that he does not expect a quick increase in the unemployment rate, that the United States economy is still robust and that the base line scenario for 2023 is avoiding recession while achieving GDP growth of 1%. NN BlackMask Blog:

Sweating Thursdays CPI Report